Match Info

ACB - Round 1

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Coliseum Burgos (Burgos)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 1
Slovenia	SportKlub 1


	San Pablo Burgos		Baskonia

	1	2
	2.3	1.54	Watch
	2.15	1.70
	2.25	1.6
	2.26	1.67
	2.31	1.59	Watch
	2.25	1.63
	2.33	1.63	Watch
	2.28	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (2.05)	1.62 ↓ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 183.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Pablo Burgos
41.7%

Baskonia
58.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

55%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Pablo Burgos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Baskonia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

San Pablo Burgos - Baskonia Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. SP Burgos will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Baskonia will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for SP Burgos: 45% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 182.5 - over (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 91:94

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
45. Doumbouya S.	12. Baugh D.
7. Koprivica B.	5. Duarte C.
55. Lobaco R.	35. Faried K.
15. Radosavljevic D.	8. Sedekerskis T.
4. Steward D.	3. Stewart D.J.
Substitutes
8. Almazan P.	25. Frisch C.
1. Audige C.	0. Howard M.
11. Diez D.	6. Joksimovic S.
12. Guerrero R.	7. Kurucs R.
5. Samar Z.	1. Lawson A.
43. Sengfelder C.	2. Simmons K.
59. Taboada J.	10. Spagnolo M.
Coaches
. Fisac P.	. Galbiati P.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SP Burgos won 2.

Baskonia is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Baskonia may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, SP Burgos has recorded 6 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 991:1045 (averaging 82.6:87.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for SP Burgos against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 508:530 goals (averaging 84.7:88.3 per game).

Outrights of Spanish ACB League for now

San Pablo Burgos: 0.68%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
2	Baskonia	2	2	0	216:175	4
7	San Pablo Burgos	2	1	1	191:179	2

Last Results with these Odds

Baskonia - the odds 1.68 are the expected chance of winning is 54.96%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Pablo Burgos
Club Friendly Basketball
13.09.26	San Pablo Burgos - Básquet Coruña	107:101 OT ✺
11.09.26	San Pablo Burgos - Bilbao Basket	72:79 ✺
Spanish ACB League
29.05.26	San Pablo Burgos - Granada	110:105 ✺
24.05.26	Joventut Badalona - San Pablo Burgos	86:79 ✺
17.05.26	BC Andorra - San Pablo Burgos	83:85 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLWLW
- Saski Baskonia
Euroleague
24.09.26	Baskonia - Olympiacos Piraeus	89:106 ✺
Spanish Supercopa ACB
19.09.26	Joventut Badalona - Baskonia	96:84 ✺
Club Friendly Basketball
15.09.26	Bilbao Basket - Baskonia	99:85 ✺
11.09.26	Baskonia - ALBA Berlin	101:99 ✺
05.09.26	Real Madrid - Baskonia	121:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish ACB League
15.03.26	San Pablo Burgos - Baskonia	107:96
27.12.25	Baskonia - San Pablo Burgos	89:77
Club Friendly Basketball
12.09.25	San Pablo Burgos - Baskonia	90:88
Spanish ACB League
10.04.22	San Pablo Burgos - Baskonia	62:78
23.01.22	Baskonia - San Pablo Burgos	80:69
18.04.21	Baskonia - San Pablo Burgos	83:94
11.10.20	San Pablo Burgos - Baskonia	91:89

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