Match Info

NBL1 South Women

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday


	Sandringham Sabres		Geelong United

	1	2
			Watch
	2.35	1.5
	2.5	1.44	Watch
	2.21	1.61
	2.17	1.63	Watch
	2.62	1.44
	2.26	1.59	Watch
	2.5	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↓ (2.71)	1.52 ↑ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 154.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sandringham Sabres
39.1%

Geelong United
60.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

66.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

67%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sandringham Sabres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sandringham Sabres's performance.

Geelong United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Geelong United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sandringham Sabres than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sandringham Sabres that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Geelong United than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Geelong United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sandringham Sabres - Geelong United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 76:79

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sandringham won 2.

Recent performances by Sandringham have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Geelong is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Sandringham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Geelong could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Geelong will win today's game, with odds of 1.43.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Sandringham won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 647:713. (average 71.9:79.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Sandringham won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 352:380. (average 70.4:76).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sandringham Sabres Women
Australian NBL1 South Women
26.04.25	Ringwood Hawks - Sandringham Sabres	87:78 ✺
26.04.25	Sandringham Sabres - Kilsyth Cobras	81:63 ✺
17.04.25	Sandringham Sabres - Knox Raiders	79:76 ✺
11.04.25	Mount Gambier Pioneers - Sandringham Sabres	71:55 ✺
05.04.25	Sandringham Sabres - Hobart Chargers	80:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWWLW
- Geelong United NBL1 Women
Australian NBL1 South Women
26.04.25	Hobart Chargers - Geelong United	62:89 ✺
25.04.25	Launceston Tornadoes - Geelong United	60:85 ✺
12.04.25	Geelong United - Bendigo Braves	79:61 ✺
11.04.25	Waverley Falcons - Geelong United	56:77 ✺
05.04.25	Geelong United - Ballarat Miners	94:61 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NBL1 South Women
11.05.24	Geelong United - Sandringham Sabres	63:71
21.04.23	Geelong United - Sandringham Sabres	92:89
02.07.22	Sandringham Sabres - Geelong United	72:87
Australian NBL1 Women
29.06.19	Sandringham Sabres - Geelong United	59:68
Australian SEABL Women
19.05.18	Sandringham Sabres - Geelong United	79:65
29.07.17	Sandringham Sabres - Geelong United	70:83
21.07.17	Geelong United - Sandringham Sabres	86:82

Sandringham Sabres - Geelong United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide