Match Info

LFB Women - Round 20

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Pavilhão Municipal Paulo Pinto (São João da Madeira)


	Sanjoanense		Madeira

	1	2
	1.88	1.76
	2.07	1.64
	1.76	1.92	Watch
	2.15	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.68)	1.74 ↓ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 146.25

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sanjoanense
46.9%

Madeira
53.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.8%

46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

46.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sanjoanense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sanjoanense's form might have worsened.

Madeira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Madeira's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sanjoanense than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sanjoanense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Madeira than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Madeira, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Sanjoanense - Madeira Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Sanjoanense will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Madeira will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sanjoanense (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 72:74

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
8. Anacleto C. (C)	3. Bernardeco C.
13. Bimpa S.	17. Boiko C.
21. Ju Souza	23. Burke M.
22. Miller E.	20. Langan T. R.
30. Petrus E.	5. Lopes M. (C)
Substitutes
6. Arieiro J.	9. Andrade G.
15. Cavadas A.	22. Ferreira I.
9. Costa M.	55. Goncalves C.
10. Leitao M.	14. Luisa R.
5. Leite M.	11. Ougrinov E.
11. Ressurreicao B.	10. Pires C.
	13. Serrao I.
Coaches
. Peres I.	. Silva F.

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Sanjoanense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Sanjoanense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 202:206. (average 67.3:68.7).

Including home match between the teams, Sanjoanense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 71:64.

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
4	CAB Madeira W	1	1	0	81:71	2
6	Sanjoanense W	1	1	0	74:72	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Sanjoanense Basketball Women
Portuguese LFB
14.02.26	Quinta Dos Lombos - Sanjoanense	100:57 ✺
07.02.26	Sanjoanense - GDESSA Barreiro	84:66 ✺
31.01.26	Coimbrões - Sanjoanense	74:66 ✺
24.01.26	Barcelos - Sanjoanense	76:71 ✺
17.01.26	Sanjoanense - Galitos	66:63 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWLLW
- CAB Madeira Women
Portuguese LFB
24.02.26	Madeira - GDESSA Barreiro	56:55 ✺
Taca de Portugal Basketball Women
21.02.26	Esgueira - Madeira	86:74 ✺
Portuguese LFB
18.02.26	Madeira - Sporting Lisbon	71:70 ✺
14.02.26	Madeira - Coimbrões	72:67 ✺
08.02.26	Barcelos - Madeira	68:63 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese LFB
06.12.25	Madeira - Sanjoanense	83:82
02.02.25	Madeira - Sanjoanense	59:49
01.11.24	Sanjoanense - Madeira	71:64

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