Match Info

WORLD: Olympic Games Women

Date: 3 August 2024, Saturday

Location: Stade Pierre-Mauroy (Villeneuve d'Ascq)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	Eurosport 6, Max


	Serbia W		Spain W

	1	2
	2.45	1.59
	2.25	1.65
	2.25	1.65
	2.38	1.61
	2.34	1.58	Watch
	2.2	1.62
	2.32	1.6
	2.25	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (1.82)	1.62 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 135.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Serbia W
41.3%

Spain W
58.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Serbia W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Serbia W's form might have worsened.

Spain W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Spain W's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Serbia W than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Serbia W, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spain W than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Spain W, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
65%	0%	35%

Serbia W - Spain W Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Serbia will win (votes: 13 - 65%). Spain will win (votes: 7 - 35%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Serbia: 44.1% – 85.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 66:70

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Anderson Y. Fenerbahce	12. Cazorla M. USK Prague
6. Cado S.	22. Conde M. USK Prague
33. Krajisnik-Jovanovic T. (C) UMMC Ekaterinburg	6. Gil L. Perfumerias Avenida
17. Nogic J. Besiktas	17. Gustafson M. Las Vegas Aces
1. Raca I. Sassari	11. Rodriguez L. Perfumerias Avenida
Substitutes
51. Djordjevic M.	8. Araujo M. CBK Mersin
32. Dugalic A.	9. Casas Q. Valencia
25. Jankovic M. Sepsi SIC	20. Ginzo P. Valencia
8. Jovanovic N.	4. Ortiz M. Casademont Zaragoza
30. Katanic A. OGM Ormanspor	10. Romero L. Valencia
66. Smailbegovic N. PEAC-Pecs	7. Torrens A. (C) Valencia
14. Stankovic D. Polkowice	13. Vilaro A. Perfumerias Avenida
Coaches
. Maljkovic M.	. Mendez M.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Serbia won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Serbia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Spain will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Serbia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 469-532.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Serbia W basketball
Olympic Games - Basketball Women
31.07.24	China W - Serbia W	59:81 ✺
28.07.24	Serbia W - Puerto Rico W	58:55 ✺
Friendly International Basketball Women
21.07.24	Serbia W - Nigeria W	70:62 ✺
12.07.24	France W - Serbia W	85:63 ✺
30.06.24	Belgium W - Serbia W	106:59 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WWWLL
- Spain W basketball
Olympic Games - Basketball Women
31.07.24	Puerto Rico W - Spain W	62:63 ✺
28.07.24	Spain W - China W	90:89 OT ✺
Friendly International Basketball Women
24.07.24	Spain W - Canada W	68:48 ✺
22.07.24	Spain W - Australia W	66:75 ✺
12.07.24	Belgium W - Spain W	76:58 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Olympic Games - Basketball Women
29.07.21	Spain W - Serbia W	85:70
EuroBasket Women
23.06.21	Serbia W - Spain W	71:64 OT (62:62)
06.07.19	Spain W - Serbia W	71:66
Olympic Games - Basketball Women
18.08.16	Spain W - Serbia W	68:54
07.08.16	Serbia W - Spain W	59:65
EuroBasket Women
20.06.15	Serbia W - Spain W	80:91
28.06.13	Spain W - Serbia W	88:69

Serbia W - Spain W: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide