Match Info

CBA - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Shanxi Sports Center (Taiyuan)


	Shanxi Zhongyu		Zhejiang Guangsha Lions

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.33	1.55
	2.51	1.49
	2.21	1.64	Watch
	2.2	1.62
	2.48	1.51	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.17)	1.58 ↓ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 178.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shanxi Zhongyu
40.7%

Zhejiang Guangsha Lions
59.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

57.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

60.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shanxi Zhongyu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Zhejiang Guangsha Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shanxi Zhongyu than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zhejiang Guangsha Lions than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Shanxi Zhongyu - Zhejiang Guangsha Lions Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Shanxi (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Shanxi Zhongyu will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 90:88

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
2. Fall-Faye I.	5. Brown B.
35. Ge Zhaobao	21. Hu Jinqiu
3. Jia Mingru	0. Lin B. S.
14. Knight M.	23. Sampson J.
6. Sedak Y.	10. Zhu Junlong
Substitutes
1. Chen Pengyudi	22. Carlton J.
11. Diallo H.	12. Junwei X.
18. Han Peiyu	55. Su Ruoyu
17. Jiao H.	59. Tucker R.
21. Liu C.	26. Wu Xiao
10. Nix D.	9. Zhao Jiaren
8. Zhang Ning	25. Zhao Yanhao
Coaches
. Jiang P.	. Bo W.

Preview

Shanxi Zhongyu leads series 1-0. Second leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shanxi won 3.

Shanxi is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Zhejiang has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Zhejiang may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Shanxi could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shanxi won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 1912:2063. (average 95.6:103.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Shanxi won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 801:794. (average 100.1:99.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Zhejiang Guangsha Lions - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 57.2%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shanxi Zhongyu
CBA
07.05.26	Zhejiang Guangsha Lions - Shanxi Zhongyu	90:92 ✺
02.05.26	Shanxi Zhongyu - Qingdao DoubleStar	97:94 ✺
29.04.26	Qingdao DoubleStar - Shanxi Zhongyu	86:90 OT ✺
24.04.26	Shanxi Zhongyu - Nanjing Monkey King	116:96 ✺
20.04.26	Shanxi Zhongyu - Guangdong Southern Tigers	106:96 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WWWWW
- Zhejiang Guangsha Lions
CBA
07.05.26	Zhejiang Guangsha Lions - Shanxi Zhongyu	90:92 ✺
24.04.26	Zhejiang Guangsha Lions - Tianjin Ronggang	103:93 ✺
19.04.26	Zhejiang Guangsha Lions - Beijing Royal Fighters	117:104 OT ✺
17.04.26	Nanjing Monkey King - Zhejiang Guangsha Lions	82:91 ✺
15.04.26	Shanxi Zhongyu - Zhejiang Guangsha Lions	100:91 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

CBA
07.05.26	Zhejiang Guangsha Lions - Shanxi Zhongyu	90:92
15.04.26	Shanxi Zhongyu - Zhejiang Guangsha Lions	100:91
Chinese CBA Club Cup
09.02.26	Shanxi Zhongyu - Zhejiang Guangsha Lions	78:59
CBA
12.12.25	Zhejiang Guangsha Lions - Shanxi Zhongyu	88:74
22.03.25	Shanxi Zhongyu - Zhejiang Guangsha Lions	107:110
05.03.25	Zhejiang Guangsha Lions - Shanxi Zhongyu	98:100
10.01.25	Zhejiang Guangsha Lions - Shanxi Zhongyu	111:78

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