Match Info

CBA

Date: 13 March 2026, Friday

Location: Shenzhen Dayun Arena (Shenzhen)


	Shenzhen Leopards		Guangdong Southern Tigers

	1	2
	2.35	1.54	Watch
	2.4	1.52
	2.54	1.48
	2.43	1.51	Watch
	2.5	1.5
	2.53	1.49	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.04)	1.51 ↓ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 196.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shenzhen Leopards
38%

Guangdong Southern Tigers
62%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

55%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shenzhen Leopards has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shenzhen Leopards's form might have worsened.

Guangdong Southern Tigers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guangdong Southern Tigers's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shenzhen Leopards than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shenzhen Leopards, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangdong Southern Tigers than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guangdong Southern Tigers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.7%	0%	5.3%

Shenzhen Leopards - Guangdong Southern Tigers Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3.5, OT - Guangdong (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Shenzhen Leopards will win (18 of 19 users predict this - 94.74%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.7% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Shenzhen Leopards will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Shenzhen (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Guangdong (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 97:100

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
3. He Xining	5. Chen Jiazheng
20. Johnson M.	3. Hu Mingxuan
27. Kaba A.	16. Jiao Boqiao
2. Lu Pengyu	10. Queen T.
33. Wang Haoran	0. Sullinger J.
Substitutes
24. Johnson A.	18. Du Runwang
21. Li Muhao	22 . McCall T.
17. Ma Mingkun	1. Sumner E.
8. Rong Zifeng	41. Wang Hongze.
77. Smith T.	28. Wang S.
5. Sun Haoqin	2. Xu Jie
9. Zhou Peng	25. Zhang Haojia
Coaches
. Yonggang Z.	. Feng Du

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shenzhen won 1.

In recent matches, Shenzhen has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Guangdong is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shenzhen won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 2027:2325. (average 101.4:116.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Shenzhen won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 1034:1138. (average 103.4:113.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shenzhen Leopards
CBA
11.03.26	Shenzhen Leopards - Liaoning Dinosaurs	88:96 ✺
03.02.26	Nanjing Monkey King - Shenzhen Leopards	126:123 OT ✺
01.02.26	Jiangsu Dragons - Shenzhen Leopards	71:90 ✺
30.01.26	Shanghai Sharks - Shenzhen Leopards	101:92 ✺
27.01.26	Shenzhen Leopards - Fujian Xunxing	106:77 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLWLW
- Guangdong Southern Tigers Basketball
CBA
11.03.26	Xinjiang Flying Tigers - Guangdong Southern Tigers	82:80 ✺
Chinese CBA Club Cup
06.02.26	Shanghai Sharks - Guangdong Southern Tigers	113:104 ✺
CBA
03.02.26	Guangdong Southern Tigers - Shanghai Sharks	84:94 ✺
01.02.26	Ningbo Rockets - Guangdong Southern Tigers	94:81 ✺
28.01.26	Guangdong Southern Tigers - Jilin Northeast Tigers	89:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

CBA
07.01.26	Guangdong Southern Tigers - Shenzhen Leopards	110:105
06.01.25	Shenzhen Leopards - Guangdong Southern Tigers	84:91
03.11.24	Guangdong Southern Tigers - Shenzhen Leopards	123:88
03.02.24	Shenzhen Leopards - Guangdong Southern Tigers	97:90
25.12.23	Guangdong Southern Tigers - Shenzhen Leopards	120:93
31.03.23	Shenzhen Leopards - Guangdong Southern Tigers	98:95
15.10.22	Guangdong Southern Tigers - Shenzhen Leopards	90:91

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