Match Info

CBA - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Shenzhen Dayun Arena (Shenzhen)


	Shenzhen Leopards		Zhejiang Guangsha Lions

	1	2
	3.7	1.25	Watch
	3.25	1.3
	3.59	1.32
	3.25	1.32	Watch
	3.25	1.33
	3.24	1.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.38 ↑ (1.74)	1.31 ↓ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 180.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-9)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shenzhen Leopards
27.9%

Zhejiang Guangsha Lions
72.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

47.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shenzhen Leopards has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-24.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shenzhen Leopards's form might have worsened.

Zhejiang Guangsha Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+24.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zhejiang Guangsha Lions's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shenzhen Leopards than the current prediction. (+28.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shenzhen Leopards, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zhejiang Guangsha Lions than the current prediction. (-28.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zhejiang Guangsha Lions, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Shenzhen Leopards - Zhejiang Guangsha Lions Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Shenzhen will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Zhejiang will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shenzhen: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Shenzhen (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 189, OT - under (1.58) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:95

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Badji I.	5. Brown B.
23. Christopher J.	22. Carlton J.
3. He Xining	21. Hu Jinqiu
8. Rong Zifeng	25. Zhao Yanhao
33. Wang Haoran	10. Zhu Junlong
Substitutes
4. Liu Changjiang	23. Sampson J.
2. Lu Pengyu	17. Sun Minghui
26. Ma H.	55. Su Ruoyu
17. Ma Mingkun	59. Tucker R.
5. Sun Haoqin	26. Wu Xiao
1. Wu Zihan	13. Xinquan Cui.
9. Zhou Peng	9. Zhao Jiaren
Coaches
. Yonggang Z.	. Bo W.

Preview

Zhejiang Guangsha leads series 2-1. Fourth leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shenzhen won 2.

In recent matches, Shenzhen has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Zhejiang is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Zhejiang may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shenzhen won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1896:1887. (average 94.8:94.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Shenzhen won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 888:831. (average 98.7:92.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shenzhen Leopards
CBA
21.05.26	Shenzhen Leopards - Zhejiang Guangsha Lions	91:80 ✺
18.05.26	Zhejiang Guangsha Lions - Shenzhen Leopards	92:85 ✺
16.05.26	Zhejiang Guangsha Lions - Shenzhen Leopards	111:102 ✺
10.05.26	Zhejiang Golden Bulls - Shenzhen Leopards	91:95 ✺
07.05.26	Shenzhen Leopards - Zhejiang Golden Bulls	108:95 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLLWW
- Zhejiang Guangsha Lions
CBA
21.05.26	Shenzhen Leopards - Zhejiang Guangsha Lions	91:80 ✺
18.05.26	Zhejiang Guangsha Lions - Shenzhen Leopards	92:85 ✺
16.05.26	Zhejiang Guangsha Lions - Shenzhen Leopards	111:102 ✺
13.05.26	Zhejiang Guangsha Lions - Shanxi Zhongyu	91:67 ✺
10.05.26	Shanxi Zhongyu - Zhejiang Guangsha Lions	81:86 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

CBA
21.05.26	Shenzhen Leopards - Zhejiang Guangsha Lions	91:80
18.05.26	Zhejiang Guangsha Lions - Shenzhen Leopards	92:85
16.05.26	Zhejiang Guangsha Lions - Shenzhen Leopards	111:102
02.04.26	Shenzhen Leopards - Zhejiang Guangsha Lions	110:80
27.12.25	Zhejiang Guangsha Lions - Shenzhen Leopards	110:80
15.12.24	Shenzhen Leopards - Zhejiang Guangsha Lions	101:77
10.12.24	Zhejiang Guangsha Lions - Shenzhen Leopards	93:88

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