Match Info

NCAA

Date: 17 February 2026, Tuesday


	Southern Methodist Mustangs		Louisville Cardinals

	1	2
	2.55	1.48
	2.45	1.5
	2.47	1.57
	2.27	1.57	Watch
	2.55	1.5
	2.62	1.45
	2.5	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.04)	1.52 ↓ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 166.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Southern Methodist Mustangs
37.9%

Louisville Cardinals
62.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.7%

55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

48.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Southern Methodist Mustangs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Southern Methodist Mustangs's form might have worsened.

Louisville Cardinals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Louisville Cardinals's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southern Methodist Mustangs than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Southern Methodist Mustangs, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Louisville Cardinals than the current prediction. (-13.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Louisville Cardinals, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Southern Methodist Mustangs - Louisville Cardinals Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Louisville will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:85

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Preview

Recent performances by Southern Methodist have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Louisville is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Louisville may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Louisville might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Louisville will win today's game, with odds of 1.52.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Southern Methodist won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 281:341. (average 70.3:85.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Southern Methodist won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 144:182. (average 72:91).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Southern Methodist Mustangs basketball
NCAA College Basketball
14.02.26	Syracuse Orange - Southern Methodist Mustangs	79:78 ✺
10.02.26	Southern Methodist Mustangs - Notre Dame Fighting Irish	89:81 ✺
07.02.26	Pittsburgh Panthers - Southern Methodist Mustangs	67:86 ✺
03.02.26	Southern Methodist Mustangs - North Carolina State Wolfpack	83:84 ✺
31.01.26	Louisville Cardinals - Southern Methodist Mustangs	88:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWWLL
- Louisville Cardinals basketball
NCAA College Basketball
14.02.26	Baylor Bears - Louisville Cardinals	71:82 ✺
09.02.26	Louisville Cardinals - North Carolina State Wolfpack	118:77 ✺
07.02.26	Wake Forest Demon Deacons - Louisville Cardinals	80:88 ✺
04.02.26	Louisville Cardinals - Notre Dame Fighting Irish	76:65 ✺
31.01.26	Louisville Cardinals - Southern Methodist Mustangs	88:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
31.01.26	Louisville Cardinals - Southern Methodist Mustangs	88:74
21.01.25	Southern Methodist Mustangs - Louisville Cardinals	73:98
05.03.14	Southern Methodist Mustangs - Louisville Cardinals	71:84
12.01.14	Louisville Cardinals - Southern Methodist Mustangs	71:63

Southern Methodist Mustangs - Louisville Cardinals: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide