Match Info

NCAA

Date: 3 February 2026, Tuesday


	Southern Methodist Mustangs		North Carolina State Wolfpack

	1	2
	1.91	1.91
	1.86	1.86
	1.9	1.95
	1.83	1.89	Watch
	1.91	1.91
	1.83	1.83
	1.86	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.85)	1.9 ↑ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 160.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Southern Methodist Mustangs
50.4%

North Carolina State Wolfpack
49.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

50.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

47%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Southern Methodist Mustangs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

North Carolina State Wolfpack has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southern Methodist Mustangs than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Carolina State Wolfpack than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Southern Methodist Mustangs - North Carolina State Wolfpack Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 79:81

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Preview

Southern Methodist has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

North Carolina State is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

North Carolina State may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Southern Methodist won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 63:57.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Southern Methodist Mustangs basketball
NCAA College Basketball
31.01.26	Louisville Cardinals - Southern Methodist Mustangs	88:74 ✺
24.01.26	Southern Methodist Mustangs - Florida State Seminoles	83:80 ✺
20.01.26	Wake Forest Demon Deacons - Southern Methodist Mustangs	79:91 ✺
17.01.26	Southern Methodist Mustangs - Virginia Cavaliers	68:72 ✺
14.01.26	Southern Methodist Mustangs - Virginia Tech Hokies	77:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWLW
- North Carolina State Wolfpack basketball
NCAA College Basketball
31.01.26	Wake Forest Demon Deacons - North Carolina State Wolfpack	78:96 ✺
27.01.26	North Carolina State Wolfpack - Syracuse Orange	88:68 ✺
24.01.26	Pittsburgh Panthers - North Carolina State Wolfpack	72:81 ✺
20.01.26	Clemson Tigers - North Carolina State Wolfpack	76:80 OT ✺
17.01.26	North Carolina State Wolfpack - Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets	74:78 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
25.01.25	North Carolina State Wolfpack - Southern Methodist Mustangs	57:63

Southern Methodist Mustangs - North Carolina State Wolfpack: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide