Match Info
NCAADate: 11 March 2026, Wednesday
|
 |
|
 |
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Louisville Cardinals |
|
Southern Methodist Mustangs |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.29 |
|
3.45 |
|
 |
1.3 |
|
3.25 |
|
 |
1.36 |
|
3.32 |
|
 |
1.35 |
|
2.97 |
 Watch |
 |
1.33 |
|
3.25 |
|
 |
1.3 |
|
3.47 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.32 ↓
(1.35) |
|
3.29 ↑
(3.07) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 163.00
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)
- The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Louisville Cardinals
71.3% | Southern Methodist Mustangs
28.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Louisville Cardinals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)Southern Methodist Mustangs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Louisville Cardinals than the current prediction. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southern Methodist Mustangs than the current prediction. (+2%)Louisville Cardinals - Southern Methodist Mustangs Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Southern Methodist (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:79 
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Preview
Louisville has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).Southern Methodist's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Louisville may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Louisville is the team to beat.We predict that Louisville will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Louisville won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 426:376. (average 85.2:75.2).Including home matches between the teams, Louisville won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 159:137. (average 79.5:68.5).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| NCAA College Basketball | | | 17.02.26 | Southern Methodist Mustangs - Louisville Cardinals | 95:85 | | 31.01.26 | Louisville Cardinals - Southern Methodist Mustangs | 88:74 | | 21.01.25 | Southern Methodist Mustangs - Louisville Cardinals | 73:98 | | 05.03.14 | Southern Methodist Mustangs - Louisville Cardinals | 71:84 | | 12.01.14 | Louisville Cardinals - Southern Methodist Mustangs | 71:63 |
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