Match Info

NCAA

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday


	Southern Methodist Mustangs		North Carolina Tar Heels

	1	2
	1.95	1.87
	1.86	1.86
	1.83	1.89	Watch
	1.91	1.91
	1.88	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (1.91)	1.88 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 151.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Southern Methodist Mustangs
49.9%

North Carolina Tar Heels
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

50.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

51.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Southern Methodist Mustangs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

North Carolina Tar Heels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southern Methodist Mustangs than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Carolina Tar Heels than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Southern Methodist Mustangs - North Carolina Tar Heels Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Southern Methodist will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). North Carolina will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 77:77

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Preview

Southern Methodist has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

North Carolina is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Southern Methodist may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, North Carolina has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Southern Methodist won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 67:82.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Southern Methodist Mustangs basketball
NCAA College Basketball
28.12.25	Southern Methodist Mustangs - Cal State Fullerton Titans	110:63 ✺
21.12.25	Southern Methodist Mustangs - Central Arkansas Bears	99:82 ✺
13.12.25	LSU Tigers - Southern Methodist Mustangs	89:77 ✺
07.12.25	Texas A&M Aggies - Southern Methodist Mustangs	93:80 OT ✺
03.12.25	Vanderbilt Commodores - Southern Methodist Mustangs	88:69 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 WWLLL
- North Carolina Tar Heels basketball
NCAA College Basketball
30.12.25	North Carolina Tar Heels - Florida State Seminoles	79:66 ✺
22.12.25	North Carolina Tar Heels - East Carolina Pirates	99:51 ✺
20.12.25	North Carolina Tar Heels - Ohio State Buckeyes	70:71 ✺
16.12.25	North Carolina Tar Heels - East Tennessee State Buccaneers	77:58 ✺
13.12.25	North Carolina Tar Heels - USC Upstate Spartans	80:62 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
07.01.25	North Carolina Tar Heels - Southern Methodist Mustangs	82:67

Southern Methodist Mustangs - North Carolina Tar Heels: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide