Match Info
NBLDate: 14 May 2026, ThursdayLocation: Stadium Southland (Invercargill)
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Southland Sharks |
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Auckland Tuatara |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
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 Watch |
 |
1.58 |
|
2.15 |
Watch |
 |
1.58 |
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2.28 |
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 |
1.68 |
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2.06 |
Watch |
 |
1.57 |
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2.25 |
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 |
1.62 |
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2.16 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.61 ↑
(1.59) |
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2.18 ↑
(2.09) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 184.00
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
- The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Southland Sharks
57.6% | Auckland Tuatara
42.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Southland Sharks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)Auckland Tuatara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southland Sharks than the current prediction. (-7.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Southland Sharks that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Auckland Tuatara than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Auckland Tuatara could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Southland Sharks - Auckland Tuatara Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 93:91 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
5.  Asberry C.
| 3. Dilling J.
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14.  Cooper T.
| 5. Johnson C.
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3. Inger B.
| 14. Loe R. (C)
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1. Jones R.
| 9. Wilkie D.
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33. Timmins S. (C)
| 13. Zach R.
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| Substitutes |
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13. Bertinshaw D.
| 26. Dalton M.
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20. Boone K.
| 15. Ioane K.
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2. Leger W.
| 8. Kingston K. A.
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6. Ramage J.
| 55.  Leger J.
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15. Snow R.
| 1. Pohio D.
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10. Webster Q.
| 32. Vodanovich T.
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9. Wynyard T.
| 2. Wylie J.
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| Coaches |
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. Yim J.
| . Gliddon C.
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Southland Sharks won 2.Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.Southland Sharks may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. Southland Sharks could have a small edge in this match.In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Southland Sharks won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 1326:1335. (average 88.4:89).Including home matches between the teams, Southland Sharks won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 719:694. (average 89.9:86.8).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| New Zealand NBL | | | 18.04.26 | Auckland Tuatara - Southland Sharks | 91:72 | | 10.07.25 | Southland Sharks - Auckland Tuatara | 91:75 | | 21.06.25 | Auckland Tuatara - Southland Sharks | 80:86 | | 04.04.25 | Southland Sharks - Auckland Tuatara | 92:102 | | 18.05.24 | Southland Sharks - Auckland Tuatara | 74:97 | | 19.04.24 | Auckland Tuatara - Southland Sharks | 94:54 | | 17.06.23 | Auckland Tuatara - Southland Sharks | 101:86 |
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