Match Info

NBL

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Pettigrew Green Arena (Napier)


	Hawkes Bay Hawks		Auckland Tuatara

	1	2
			Watch
	3.15	1.28	Watch
	3.39	1.26
	3.34	1.28	Watch
	3.25	1.3
	3.27	1.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.28 ↓ (3.42)	1.28 ↑ (1.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 194.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hawkes Bay Hawks
28.1%

Auckland Tuatara
71.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.6%

73.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hawkes Bay Hawks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Auckland Tuatara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Hawkes Bay Hawks - Auckland Tuatara Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 93:101

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
9. Ball J.	3. Dilling J.
24. Eagle E.	15. Ioane K.
11. Grida D.	5. Johnson C.
23. McLaughlin J.	14. Loe R. (C)
22. Rasmussen K.	13. Zach R.
Substitutes
28. Burton A. (C)	8. Kingston K. A.
17. Bush C.	55. Leger J.
2. Casson B.	30. Lepou C.
1. Costley K.	25. Ochibulu Ch.
15. Fergusson T.	32. Vodanovich T.
3. Kara K.	9. Wilkie D.
7. Murphy J.	2. Wylie J.
Coaches
. Lopez W.	. Gliddon C.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hawkes Bay Hawks won 2.

Auckland Tuatara may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Auckland Tuatara is the team to beat.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Hawkes Bay Hawks won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 1027:1160. (average 85.6:96.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Hawkes Bay Hawks won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 543:550. (average 90.5:91.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hawkes Bay Hawks
New Zealand NBL
23.04.26	Hawkes Bay Hawks - Canterbury Rams	94:103 ✺
17.04.26	Hawkes Bay Hawks - Manawatu Jets	102:109 ✺
14.04.26	Taranaki Airs - Hawkes Bay Hawks	93:84 ✺
11.04.26	Hawkes Bay Hawks - Tauranga Whai	95:101 ✺
05.07.25	Hawkes Bay Hawks - Auckland Tuatara	67:96 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Auckland Tuatara Basketball
New Zealand NBL
27.04.26	Wellington Saints - Auckland Tuatara	90:82 ✺
25.04.26	Manawatu Jets - Auckland Tuatara	80:100 ✺
18.04.26	Auckland Tuatara - Southland Sharks	91:72 ✺
11.04.26	Auckland Tuatara - Franklin Bulls	115:95 ✺
10.07.25	Southland Sharks - Auckland Tuatara	91:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand NBL
05.07.25	Hawkes Bay Hawks - Auckland Tuatara	67:96
12.04.25	Auckland Tuatara - Hawkes Bay Hawks	106:97
10.07.24	Hawkes Bay Hawks - Auckland Tuatara	108:102
04.05.24	Auckland Tuatara - Hawkes Bay Hawks	120:96
09.07.23	Hawkes Bay Hawks - Auckland Tuatara	95:83
13.05.23	Auckland Tuatara - Hawkes Bay Hawks	106:75
04.06.22	Hawkes Bay Hawks - Auckland Tuatara	88:99

Hawkes Bay Hawks - Auckland Tuatara: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide