Match Info

NBL

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadium Southland (Invercargill)


	Southland Sharks		Manawatu Jets

	1	2
			Watch
	1.15	4.75
	1.13	4.65	Watch
	1.09	5.68
	1.03	9.44	Watch
	1.11	6
	1.11	5.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.1 ↓ (1.23)	5.97 ↑ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 187.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-11)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Southland Sharks
84.4%

Manawatu Jets
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

75.1%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Southland Sharks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Southland Sharks's performance.

Manawatu Jets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Manawatu Jets might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Southland Sharks - Manawatu Jets Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 100:89

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
5. Asberry C.	25. Evans K.
14. Cooper T.	1. McDaniel C.
3. Inger B.	24. Poplar Jr. J. A.
1. Jones R.	2. Richards L.
33. Timmins S. (C)	10. Sand K. (C)
Substitutes
13. Bertinshaw D.	3. Caldwell B.
20. Boone K.	11. Chout C.
2. Leger W.	44. Holcombe A.
6. Ramage J.	7. Leota R.
15. Snow R.	21. Leusogi-Ape D.
10. Webster Q.	8. Makoii I.
9. Wynyard T.	13. Zahran H.
Coaches
. Yim J.	. Webster T.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Southland Sharks won 2.

Manawatu Jets is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Manawatu Jets may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Southland Sharks is seen as the favorite.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Southland Sharks won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1905:1671. (average 100.3:87.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Southland Sharks won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 878:764. (average 97.6:84.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Southland Sharks
New Zealand NBL
25.04.26	Southland Sharks - Tauranga Whai	106:84 ✺
18.04.26	Auckland Tuatara - Southland Sharks	91:72 ✺
16.04.26	Franklin Bulls - Southland Sharks	86:94 ✺
10.04.26	Southland Sharks - Otago Nuggets	68:95 ✺
19.07.25	Wellington Saints - Southland Sharks	88:83 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLWLL
- Manawatu Jets
New Zealand NBL
01.05.26	Otago Nuggets - Manawatu Jets	99:96 ✺
25.04.26	Manawatu Jets - Auckland Tuatara	80:100 ✺
17.04.26	Hawkes Bay Hawks - Manawatu Jets	102:109 ✺
11.04.26	Wellington Saints - Manawatu Jets	117:81 ✺
09.04.26	Manawatu Jets - Taranaki Airs	85:91 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand NBL
28.05.25	Manawatu Jets - Southland Sharks	91:88
29.03.25	Southland Sharks - Manawatu Jets	85:88
12.07.24	Manawatu Jets - Southland Sharks	100:117
03.04.24	Southland Sharks - Manawatu Jets	70:83
20.05.23	Manawatu Jets - Southland Sharks	89:105
07.04.23	Southland Sharks - Manawatu Jets	96:87
19.06.22	Southland Sharks - Manawatu Jets	73:82

Southland Sharks - Manawatu Jets: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide