Match Info

Date: 10 September 2022, Saturday

Location: Mercedes-Benz Arena (Berlin)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	ERT
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Spain		Lithuania

	1	2
	2.7	1.5	Watch
	2.6	1.5
	2.65	1.48
	2.55	1.48
	2.71	1.51
	2.68	1.49	Watch
	2.86	1.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.2)	1.5 ↓ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 157.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 0.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spain
35.9%

Lithuania
64.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

56.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

57%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Spain's form might have worsened.

Lithuania has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lithuania's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spain than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Spain, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lithuania than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lithuania, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.2%	0%	17.8%

Spain - Lithuania Predictions

Users Predictions: Spain will win (60 of 73 users predict this - 82.19%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.41% – 90.97%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 77:82

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Spain won 3.

Spain is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Lithuania is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lithuania will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Spain to win the game is with odds 2.69.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Spain won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 658-595.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spain basketball
EuroBasket
07.09.22	Turkey - Spain	69:72 ✺
06.09.22	Montenegro - Spain	65:82 ✺
04.09.22	Spain - Belgium	73:83 ✺
03.09.22	Georgia - Spain	64:90 ✺
01.09.22	Spain - Bulgaria	114:87 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWLWW
- Lithuania basketball
EuroBasket
07.09.22	Lithuania - Bosnia and Herzegovina	87:70 ✺
06.09.22	Hungary - Lithuania	64:87 ✺
04.09.22	Lithuania - Germany	107:109 OT (89:89) ✺
03.09.22	Lithuania - France	73:77 ✺
01.09.22	Slovenia - Lithuania	92:85 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Friendly International Basketball
18.08.22	Lithuania - Spain	78:76
16.08.22	Spain - Lithuania	77:82
02.08.19	Spain - Lithuania	78:70
25.08.17	Lithuania - Spain	78:79
Olympic Games - Basketball
13.08.16	Spain - Lithuania	109:59
Friendly International Basketball
21.07.16	Spain - Lithuania	76:78
18.07.16	Lithuania - Spain	87:83 OT (72:72)

Spain - Lithuania: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide