The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Spartak Pleven 30.7%
Cherno More Port Varna 69.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.9%
59.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.7%
53.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Spartak Pleven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Spartak Pleven's form might have worsened.
Cherno More Port Varna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cherno More Port Varna's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Pleven than the current prediction. (+16%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Spartak Pleven, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cherno More Port Varna than the current prediction. (-16%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cherno More Port Varna, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
88.9%
0%
11.1%
Spartak Pleven - Cherno More Port Varna Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Spartak Pleven will win (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Cherno More will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Spartak Pleven: 68.4% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:85
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
24. Brown N.
24. Boyanov G.
28. Ivanov P.
0. Gaffney A.
1. McCloud J.
8. Stoyanov N. (C)
2. Rusev M.
3. Watson-Gayle J.
21. Scott K.
5. West L.
Substitutes
32. Florveus J.
15. Chernokozhev T.
3. Ivanov B.
17. Davis D.
4. Sotirov M.
6. Hadjirusev E.
5. Titkov N. (C)
21. Karacic I.
7. Tsekov G.
13. Marinov M.
8. Umipig I.
1. Moldov M.
13. Vichev H. V.
35. Petkov V.
Coaches
. Lukajic Z.
. Evtimov V.
Preview
Cherno More leads series 1-0. Second leg.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spartak Pleven won 3.
In recent matches, Spartak Pleven has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Cherno More is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Cherno More may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Cherno More might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Spartak Pleven won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1740:1616. (average 87:80.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Spartak Pleven won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 766:629. (average 95.8:78.6).
Bulgaria
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Brown N. 
Boyanov G. 
Watson-Gayle J. 
Karacic I. 
Lukajic Z. 
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