Match Info

LPB - Round 12

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Pavilhão João Rocha (Lisbon)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sporting TV


	Sporting Lisbon		Vitória de Guimarães

	1	2
	1.04	7.3
	1.03	6.68
	1.07	6.65
	1.06	7.5
	1.05	7.5
	1.04	9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.05 ↓ (1.07)	7.44 ↑ (6.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 169.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-16)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting Lisbon
87.6%

Vitória de Guimarães
12.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

85%

15%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Vitória de Guimarães has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Sporting Lisbon - Vitória de Guimarães Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 93:77

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
3. Harden-Hayes M.	46. Gewert F.
0. Johns Jr B.	2. Jacobs M.
24. Morgan M.	0. Jenkins C.
7. Robinson C.	7. Mendes A.
9. Ventura D. (C)	5. Peek S.
Substitutes
6. Amarante F.	3. Araujo B.
4. Correia M.	11. Baker J.
12. Cruz A.	15. Bastos P. (C)
13. Fernandes J.	8. Costa R.
5. Palhares R.	14. Pinto P.
1. Razaque U.	24. Sangha J.
30. Swenson S.	6. Verde S.
Coaches
. Magalhaes L.	. Miranda M.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting won 5.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Guimarães may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sporting is the clear favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sporting won 18 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1883:1578. (average 94.2:78.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Sporting won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 885:661. (average 98.3:73.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
6	Vitoria	1	1	0	83:78	2
10	Sporting CP	1	0	1	71:84	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Lisbon Basketball
FIBA Europe Cup
21.01.26	Sporting Lisbon - Bilbao Basket	72:90 ✺
Taca de Portugal Basketball
17.01.26	Ovarense - Sporting Lisbon	70:85 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
14.01.26	Prievidza - Sporting Lisbon	94:82 ✺
Portuguese LPB
09.01.26	Sporting Lisbon - Imortal	83:64 ✺
03.01.26	CAQ Queluz - Sporting Lisbon	70:91 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLWW
- Vitória de Guimarães Basketball
Portuguese LPB
10.01.26	Oliveirense - Vitória de Guimarães	84:76 ✺
04.01.26	Vitória de Guimarães - Vasco Da Gama Porto	84:88 ✺
28.12.25	Esgueira - Vitória de Guimarães	91:103 ✺
20.12.25	Vitória de Guimarães - Braga	82:72 ✺
Taca de Portugal Basketball
13.12.25	Vitória de Guimarães - Esgueira	105:106 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese LPB
05.10.25	Vitória de Guimarães - Sporting Lisbon	68:97
12.04.25	Vitória de Guimarães - Sporting Lisbon	89:97
21.12.24	Sporting Lisbon - Vitória de Guimarães	92:90
04.02.24	Sporting Lisbon - Vitória de Guimarães	98:68
Portuguese Taca da Liga Basketball
27.01.24	Vitória de Guimarães - Sporting Lisbon	80:88
Portuguese LPB
08.10.23	Vitória de Guimarães - Sporting Lisbon	89:92
04.01.23	Vitória de Guimarães - Sporting Lisbon	95:90

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