Match Info

FIBA Europe Cup - Second stage - Round 4

Date: 21 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Arena Savaria (Szombathely)

Referee: Binders-Coders E. (Lat)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sporting TV


	Sporting Lisbon		Bilbao Basket

	1	2
			Watch
	2.6	1.42	Watch
	2.6	1.45
	2.42	1.5
	2.6	1.45
	2.5	1.5
	2.75	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↓ (6.13)	1.45 ↑ (1.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 168.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-13)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting Lisbon
36%

Bilbao Basket
64%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.2%

84.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sporting Lisbon's performance.

Bilbao Basket has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bilbao Basket might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Sporting Lisbon - Bilbao Basket Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Sporting will win (votes: 12 - 85.7%). Bilbao will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sporting: 67.4% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +11.5, OT - Sporting (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sporting Lisbon will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Sporting (votes: 11 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 78:91

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
3. Harden-Hayes M.	22. Font A.
0. Johns Jr B.	32. Hlinason T. (C)
24. Morgan M.	7. Jaworski J.
7. Robinson C.	2. Normantas M.
30. Swenson S.	18. Petrasek L.
Substitutes
6. Amarante F.	13. Bagayoko B.
18. Cherepenko D.	12. De Castro K.
4. Correia M.	5. Errasti B.
12. Cruz A.	3. Frey H.
5. Palhares R.	11. Hilliard D.
1. Razaque U.	10. Krampelj M.
9. Ventura D. (C)	9. Madariaga U.
Coaches
. Magalhaes L.	. Ponsarnau J.

Preview

Now, both teams are in good form.

Bilbao may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Sporting has had a series of away games.

Recently, Bilbao has had a series of home games.

In this match, Bilbao is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sporting won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 79:94.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Lisbon Basketball
Taca de Portugal Basketball
17.01.26	Ovarense - Sporting Lisbon	70:85 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
14.01.26	Prievidza - Sporting Lisbon	94:82 ✺
Portuguese LPB
09.01.26	Sporting Lisbon - Imortal	83:64 ✺
03.01.26	CAQ Queluz - Sporting Lisbon	70:91 ✺
28.12.25	Oliveirense - Sporting Lisbon	76:86 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLWWW
- Bilbao Basket
Spanish ACB League
17.01.26	Bilbao Basket - Canarias	95:78 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
13.01.26	Bilbao Basket - PAOK	95:73 ✺
Spanish ACB League
10.01.26	Bilbao Basket - UCAM Murcia	96:82 ✺
04.01.26	Girona - Bilbao Basket	89:93 ✺
02.01.26	Bilbao Basket - Valencia	72:116 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

FIBA Europe Cup
10.12.25	Bilbao Basket - Sporting Lisbon	94:79

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