Match Info

NCAA

Date: 5 March 2026, Thursday


	St. Thomas Minnesota Tommies		South Dakota State Jackrabbits

	1	2
	1.37	3
	1.4	2.75
	1.46	2.55	Watch
	1.45	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.31)	2.73 ↓ (3.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 148.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St. Thomas Minnesota Tommies
65.8%

South Dakota State Jackrabbits
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.1%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.6%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Thomas Minnesota Tommies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that St. Thomas Minnesota Tommies's form might have worsened.

South Dakota State Jackrabbits has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting South Dakota State Jackrabbits's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Thomas Minnesota Tommies than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for South Dakota State Jackrabbits than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

St. Thomas Minnesota Tommies - South Dakota State Jackrabbits Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 77:72

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Thomas Minnesota won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, St. Thomas Minnesota is the team to beat.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, St. Thomas Minnesota won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 772:818. (average 70.2:74.4).

Including home matches between the teams, St. Thomas Minnesota won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 364:368. (average 72.8:73.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St. Thomas Minnesota Tommies basketball
NCAA College Basketball
28.02.26	St. Thomas Minnesota Tommies - Omaha Mavericks	68:53 ✺
26.02.26	St. Thomas Minnesota Tommies - North Dakota State Bison	84:62 ✺
21.02.26	Denver Pioneers - St. Thomas Minnesota Tommies	82:80 ✺
14.02.26	UMKC Kangaroos - St. Thomas Minnesota Tommies	64:104 ✺
12.02.26	Omaha Mavericks - St. Thomas Minnesota Tommies	98:94 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWLWL
- South Dakota State Jackrabbits basketball
NCAA College Basketball
28.02.26	South Dakota Coyotes - South Dakota State Jackrabbits	75:70 ✺
26.02.26	UMKC Kangaroos - South Dakota State Jackrabbits	59:73 ✺
21.02.26	South Dakota State Jackrabbits - North Dakota Fighting Hawks	91:83 ✺
18.02.26	South Dakota State Jackrabbits - North Dakota State Bison	66:74 ✺
14.02.26	Oral Roberts Golden Eagles - South Dakota State Jackrabbits	69:87 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
04.02.26	South Dakota State Jackrabbits - St. Thomas Minnesota Tommies	62:77
22.01.26	St. Thomas Minnesota Tommies - South Dakota State Jackrabbits	74:69
06.02.25	South Dakota State Jackrabbits - St. Thomas Minnesota Tommies	102:86
08.01.25	St. Thomas Minnesota Tommies - South Dakota State Jackrabbits	73:72
11.03.24	South Dakota State Jackrabbits - St. Thomas Minnesota Tommies	59:49
24.02.24	South Dakota State Jackrabbits - St. Thomas Minnesota Tommies	77:72
11.01.24	St. Thomas Minnesota Tommies - South Dakota State Jackrabbits	80:81

St. Thomas Minnesota Tommies - South Dakota State Jackrabbits: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide