Match Info

Basket Liga - Round 10

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Globus (Lublin)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	Polsat Sport Extra 4


	Start Lublin		Dziki Warszawa

	1	2
	1.77	1.91
	1.88	1.8	Watch
	1.98	1.84
	1.95	1.78	Watch
	1.85	1.85
	1.88	1.86
	1.8	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.76)	1.84 ↓ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 170.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-9)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Start Lublin
49.6%

Dziki Warszawa
50.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.4%

47.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Start Lublin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Dziki Warszawa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Start Lublin than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dziki Warszawa than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Start Lublin - Dziki Warszawa Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Lublin will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Dziki Warszawa will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Dziki Warszawa will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 90:81

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mack T.	4. Soares R.
12. Ford Q.	0. Vander B.
25. Griffin B.	45. Frackiewicz L.
2. O'Reilly L.	1. Horton L.
3. Hawkins E.	2. Caruthers D.
Substitutes
8. Kepka W.	5. Aleksandrowicz M.
0. Krasuski M.	16. Chavez T.
7. Pelczar B.	7. Grochowski G. (C)
21. Put F. (C)	11. Kaminski G.
19. Szymanski R.	8. Kempa K.
5. Turewicz M.	25. Oguama O.
6. Wright J.
Coaches
. Kaminski W.	. Legovich M.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lublin won 3.

Lublin is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Dziki Warszawa is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Lublin won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 498:494. (average 83:82.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Lublin won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 290:235. (average 96.7:78.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Dziki Warszawa - the odds 1.93 are the expected chance of winning is 47.63%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Start Lublin
Polish Basket Liga
23.11.25	Start Lublin - Śląsk Wrocław	91:98 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
19.11.25	UCAM Murcia - Start Lublin	80:75 ✺
Polish Basket Liga
15.11.25	Start Lublin - Zielona Góra	77:91 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
12.11.25	Start Lublin - Rilski Sportist	76:73 ✺
Polish Basket Liga
08.11.25	Anwil Włocławek - Start Lublin	90:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLWL
- Dziki Warszawa
Polish Basket Liga
23.11.25	Legia Warsaw - Dziki Warszawa	79:84 ✺
ENBL
18.11.25	Dziki Warszawa - Peja	103:81 ✺
Polish Basket Liga
13.11.25	Dziki Warszawa - King Wilki Morskie Szczecin	85:96 ✺
09.11.25	Dziki Warszawa - Dąbrowa Górnicza	96:93 OT ✺
03.11.25	Asseco Prokom Gdynia - Dziki Warszawa	78:96 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Basket Liga
19.04.25	Start Lublin - Dziki Warszawa	86:69
Polish Cup Basketball
13.02.25	Start Lublin - Dziki Warszawa	93:82
Polish Basket Liga
19.12.24	Dziki Warszawa - Start Lublin	75:63
30.03.24	Start Lublin - Dziki Warszawa	111:84
30.11.23	Dziki Warszawa - Start Lublin	86:71
Club Friendly Basketball
14.09.23	Dziki Warszawa - Start Lublin	98:74

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