Match Info

Basket Liga - Round 8

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Globus (Lublin)


	Start Lublin		Zielona Góra

	1	2
	1.42	2.7
	1.42	2.6	Watch
	1.46	2.71
	1.44	2.48	Watch
	1.44	2.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 (1.44)	2.64 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 162.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Start Lublin
64.7%

Zielona Góra
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.3%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.4%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Start Lublin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Zielona Góra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Start Lublin than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zielona Góra than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Start Lublin - Zielona Góra Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Zielona Góra (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 79.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:79

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Griffin B.	12. Cartier P.
3. Hawkins E.	10. Fayne P.
0. Krasuski M.	0. Garrison C. J.
1. Mack T.	32. Maughmer J.
21. Put F. (C)	3. Mazurczak A. (C)
Substitutes
12. Ford Q.	8. Matczak F.
8. Kepka W.	23. Sitnik M.
7. Pelczar B.	7. Sulima Krzysztof .
19. Szymanski R.	13. Szumert J.
5. Turewicz M.	77. Woroniecki M.
6. Wright J.
Coaches
. Kaminski W.	. Miloszewski A.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lublin won 2.

Lublin is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Zielona Góra has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Lublin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Lublin might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lublin won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 1606:1794. (average 80.3:89.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Lublin won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 889:959. (average 80.8:87.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Start Lublin - the odds 1.44 are the expected chance of winning is 63.27%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Start Lublin
FIBA Europe Cup
12.11.25	Start Lublin - Rilski Sportist	76:73 ✺
Polish Basket Liga
08.11.25	Anwil Włocławek - Start Lublin	90:81 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
05.11.25	Bosna - Start Lublin	79:70 ✺
Polish Basket Liga
02.11.25	Start Lublin - Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski	76:91 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
29.10.25	Start Lublin - UCAM Murcia	75:102 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 WLLLL
- BC Zielona Góra
Polish Basket Liga
09.11.25	Zielona Góra - Legia Warsaw	71:88 ✺
01.11.25	King Wilki Morskie Szczecin - Zielona Góra	80:66 ✺
26.10.25	Zielona Góra - Dąbrowa Górnicza	82:70 ✺
17.10.25	Zielona Góra - Asseco Prokom Gdynia	75:77 ✺
13.10.25	GTK Gliwice - Zielona Góra	62:86 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Basket Liga
10.04.25	Zielona Góra - Start Lublin	101:92
13.12.24	Start Lublin - Zielona Góra	91:82
24.03.24	Zielona Góra - Start Lublin	91:103
26.11.23	Start Lublin - Zielona Góra	91:95
03.03.23	Start Lublin - Zielona Góra	76:83
ENBL
22.12.22	Start Lublin - Zielona Góra	88:94 OT (83:83)
Polish Basket Liga
27.10.22	Zielona Góra - Start Lublin	96:67

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