Match Info

Premier League - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Mathus Gardabaejar hollin (Gardabaer)


	Stjarnan		Tindastóll

	1	2
	1.8	1.88	Watch
	1.93	1.82
	1.81	1.87
	1.9	1.9
	1.84	1.84	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.82)	1.86 ↑ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 195.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stjarnan
50.1%

Tindastóll
49.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

50.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stjarnan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Tindastóll has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stjarnan than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tindastóll than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Stjarnan - Tindastóll Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 99:97

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
10. Agravanis I.	21. Agustsson J.
9. Bertone P.	5. Badmus T.
11. Gasic L.	1. Basile D.
5. Henningsson H. (C)	15. Drungilas A.
16. LeDay S.	11. Geks D.
Substitutes
21. Birnisson B. S.	34. Agustsson R.
4. Hjartarson A. H.	12. Agustsson V.
6. Jonasson A.	8. Arnarsson V.
17. Jonsson B.	7. Birgisson P. (C)
3. Leifsson J.	6. Bjornsson S.
24. Ludviksson V. J.	10. Dolenc D.
35. Rafnarsson S.	9. Helgason H.
Coaches
. Ragnarsson B.	. Gudjonsson A.

Preview

Stjarnan leads series 2-1. Fourth leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stjarnan won 3.

Stjarnan is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Tindastóll's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Stjarnan won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 1820:1764. (average 91:88.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Stjarnan won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 743:657. (average 92.9:82.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
5	Tindastoll	1	1	0	85:77	2
10	Stjarnan	1	0	1	77:90	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stjarnan Basketball
Icelandic Premier League Basketball
29.04.26	Tindastóll - Stjarnan	103:88 ✺
25.04.26	Stjarnan - Tindastóll	105:103 OT ✺
21.04.26	Tindastóll - Stjarnan	95:96 ✺
14.04.26	KR Basket Reykjavík - Stjarnan	115:118 OT ✺
10.04.26	Stjarnan - KR Basket Reykjavík	104:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LWWWW
- UMF Tindastóll Basketball
Icelandic Premier League Basketball
29.04.26	Tindastóll - Stjarnan	103:88 ✺
25.04.26	Stjarnan - Tindastóll	105:103 OT ✺
21.04.26	Tindastóll - Stjarnan	95:96 ✺
11.04.26	Tindastóll - IR Reykjavík	125:87 ✺
07.04.26	IR Reykjavík - Tindastóll	90:98 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Premier League Basketball
29.04.26	Tindastóll - Stjarnan	103:88
25.04.26	Stjarnan - Tindastóll	105:103 OT
21.04.26	Tindastóll - Stjarnan	95:96
30.01.26	Stjarnan - Tindastóll	125:87
31.10.25	Tindastóll - Stjarnan	96:95
21.05.25	Tindastóll - Stjarnan	77:82
18.05.25	Stjarnan - Tindastóll	91:86

Stjarnan - Tindastóll: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide