Match Info

NCAA

Date: 5 February 2026, Thursday

Location: Island Federal Credit Union Arena (New York, NY)


	Stony Brook Seawolves		Monmouth Hawks

	1	2
	1.83	2
	1.83	1.9
	1.89	1.96
	1.65	2.12	Watch
	1.85	1.91
	1.83	1.91
	1.83	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.6)	1.97 ↓ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 134.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stony Brook Seawolves
52.1%

Monmouth Hawks
47.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

45.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stony Brook Seawolves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stony Brook Seawolves's form might have worsened.

Monmouth Hawks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Monmouth Hawks's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stony Brook Seawolves than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monmouth Hawks than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Stony Brook Seawolves - Monmouth Hawks Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 68:68

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stony Brook won 1.

Stony Brook has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Monmouth's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Stony Brook may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Stony Brook will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Stony Brook won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 379:423. (average 63.2:70.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Stony Brook won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 195:205. (average 65:68.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stony Brook Seawolves basketball
NCAA College Basketball
31.01.26	Elon University Phoenix - Stony Brook Seawolves	68:72 ✺
29.01.26	Campbell Fighting Camels - Stony Brook Seawolves	69:81 ✺
22.01.26	Northeastern Huskies - Stony Brook Seawolves	80:95 ✺
17.01.26	Stony Brook Seawolves - Charleston Cougars	112:106 OT ✺
15.01.26	Stony Brook Seawolves - Hofstra Pride	76:71 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.4 WWWWW
- Monmouth Hawks basketball
NCAA College Basketball
31.01.26	Monmouth Hawks - Hofstra Pride	57:73 ✺
29.01.26	Monmouth Hawks - North Carolina A&T Aggies	83:81 OT ✺
24.01.26	Campbell Fighting Camels - Monmouth Hawks	73:88 ✺
22.01.26	Hampton Pirates - Monmouth Hawks	65:63 ✺
19.01.26	Monmouth Hawks - Northeastern Huskies	81:68 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
13.02.25	Stony Brook Seawolves - Monmouth Hawks	69:79
02.01.25	Monmouth Hawks - Stony Brook Seawolves	78:56
17.02.24	Monmouth Hawks - Stony Brook Seawolves	84:61
25.01.24	Stony Brook Seawolves - Monmouth Hawks	72:65
08.02.23	Stony Brook Seawolves - Monmouth Hawks	54:61
05.01.23	Monmouth Hawks - Stony Brook Seawolves	56:67

Stony Brook Seawolves - Monmouth Hawks: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide