Match Info

Basketligaen - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 7 May 2026, Thursday

Location: Arena Svendborg (Svendborg)


	Svendborg Rabbits		Team FOG Næstved

	1	2
			Watch
	1.83	1.9	Watch
	1.84	1.9
	1.83	1.89	Watch
	1.83	1.95
	1.8	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.64)	1.92 ↓ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 176.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Svendborg Rabbits
51.2%

Team FOG Næstved
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

46.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Svendborg Rabbits has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Svendborg Rabbits's form might have worsened.

Team FOG Næstved has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Team FOG Næstved's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Svendborg Rabbits than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Team FOG Næstved than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Svendborg Rabbits - Team FOG Næstved Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 89:89

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Heede-Andersen A. (C)	1. Bajema C.
13. Kot A.	8. Harris T.
5. Nagle J.	35. Searls V.
45. Saylor D.	40. Trumper S.
11. Willingham K.	24. Worster R.
Substitutes
9. Hockerup D.	23. Ajayi P.
49. Jelle W.	33. Beier-Christiansen A.
1. Owolabi K.	15. Christensen L.
7. Sorensen M.	7. Jean-Baptiste D. (C)
18. Veljic B.	3. Tabe S.
8. Vogel G.
2. Willingham M.
Coaches
. Andersen M.	. Pavlakovich D.

Preview

Naestved leads series 2-1. Fourth leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Svendborg won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Svendborg won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 1759:1874. (average 88:93.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Svendborg won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 813:817. (average 90.3:90.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
1	Svendborg	5	4	1	446:394	8
2	Team FOG Naestved	3	3	0	308:195	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Svendborg Rabbits
Danish Basketligaen
04.05.26	Team FOG Næstved - Svendborg Rabbits	111:87 ✺
30.04.26	Svendborg Rabbits - Team FOG Næstved	63:75 ✺
27.04.26	Team FOG Næstved - Svendborg Rabbits	88:101 ✺
20.04.26	Svendborg Rabbits - Bakken Bears	85:69 ✺
17.04.26	Randers Cimbria - Svendborg Rabbits	96:78 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LLWWL
- Team FOG Næstved
Danish Basketligaen
04.05.26	Team FOG Næstved - Svendborg Rabbits	111:87 ✺
30.04.26	Svendborg Rabbits - Team FOG Næstved	63:75 ✺
27.04.26	Team FOG Næstved - Svendborg Rabbits	88:101 ✺
20.04.26	Horsens - Team FOG Næstved	103:82 ✺
17.04.26	Copenhagen Wolfpack - Team FOG Næstved	98:104 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Danish Basketligaen
04.05.26	Team FOG Næstved - Svendborg Rabbits	111:87
30.04.26	Svendborg Rabbits - Team FOG Næstved	63:75
27.04.26	Team FOG Næstved - Svendborg Rabbits	88:101
30.03.26	Team FOG Næstved - Svendborg Rabbits	92:90
12.03.26	Svendborg Rabbits - Team FOG Næstved	83:86
28.12.25	Svendborg Rabbits - Team FOG Næstved	97:96
Danish Cup Basketball
20.12.25	Team FOG Næstved - Svendborg Rabbits	83:69

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