Match Info

EuroBasket - Round 1

Date: 27 August 2025, Wednesday

Location: Nokia Arena (Tampere)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 2
Czech-republic	CT sport Plus
Denmark	DAZN
Finland	Nelonen, Ruutu+
France	beIN Sports MAX 4, beIN Sports MAX 9
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports 4
Hungary	M4 Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Serbia	SportKlub 2
Slovenia	SportKlub 2
Sweden	DAZN, SVT 24, SVT 2, SVT Play


	Sweden		Finland

	1	2
	8	1.09	Watch
	4.75	1.19	Watch
	7.25	1.11	Watch
	6.16	1.14
	5.90	1.11	Watch
	5	1.14
	7.2	1.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.32 ↑ (4.75)	1.13 ↓ (1.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 170.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-13)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sweden
15.1%

Finland
84.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.2%

79.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sweden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sweden's form might have worsened.

Finland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Finland's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Sweden - Finland Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Sweden will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Finland will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sweden: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Sweden (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Finland (votes: 5 - 55.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 160.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 167.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Sweden (6.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -13.5, OT - Finland (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Sweden (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Finland (votes: 6 - 54.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 79:92

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Birgander S. Murcia	18. Jantunen M. Fenerbahce
18. Gaddefors V. Torun	23. Markkanen L. Utah Jazz
12. Hakanson L. (C) Murcia	21. Maxhuni E. Karsiyaka Basket
9. Larsson P. Miami Heat	9. Salin S. (C) CSU Cluj Napoca
19. Pantzar M. J. Bilbao	19. Valtonen E. Fundacion Granada
Substitutes
1. Andersson D. Dziki Warszawa	34. Grandison J. PAOK
6. Borg T. Palencia	30. Gustavson A. Karhu Basket
5. Falk W. Murcia	1. Little M.
15. Markusson M. Dabrowa Gornicza	20. Madsen A. Forca Lleida
31. Njie B. Braunschweig	24. Muurinen M.
2. Ramstedt A. Valur	13. Nkamhoua O. Chemnitz
16. Spires N.	35. Seppala I. KTE-Duna
Coaches
. Riipinen M.	. Tuovi L.

Preview

Finland may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Finland is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Sweden won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 268:297. (average 67:74.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sweden basketball
Friendly International Basketball
20.08.25	Sweden - Estonia	87:88 ✺
16.08.25	Portugal - Sweden	78:61 ✺
14.08.25	Sweden - Iceland	70:73 ✺
10.08.25	Poland - Sweden	74:72 ✺
EuroBasket
23.02.25	Sweden - Montenegro	86:83 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLLLW
- Finland basketball
Friendly International Basketball
21.08.25	Finland - Poland	106:87 ✺
17.08.25	Poland - Finland	88:97 ✺
11.08.25	Finland - Belgium	92:74 ✺
EuroBasket
24.02.25	Denmark - Finland	77:83 ✺
21.02.25	Finland - Serbia	95:105 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

World Championship Basketball
30.06.22	Finland - Sweden	85:69
25.11.21	Sweden - Finland	72:62
Friendly International Basketball
27.08.16	Finland - Sweden	69:67
EuroBasket
05.09.13	Finland - Sweden	81:60

Sweden - Finland: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide