Match Info

NBB

Date: 28 March 2025, Friday

Location: Ginasio do Morumbi (Sao Paulo)

Referee: Goncalves Lopes C. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+


	São Paulo		Pato

	1	2
	2.85	1.38
	2.3	1.55
	2.3	1.52	Watch
	2.42	1.51
	2.2	1.62
	2.56	1.47
	2.3	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.13)	1.51 ↓ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 162.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São Paulo
38.4%

Pato
61.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

57.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

57.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Paulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Pato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pato than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

São Paulo - Pato Predictions

Users Predictions: São Paulo will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 79:84

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Ansaloni R.	36. Arthur
3. Bennett C.	8. Freitas C.
40. Bresolin A.	17. Gabriel Novaes
33. Miller M.	16. Rafa Oliveira
7. Paulo	11. Wrighten A.
Substitutes
8. Badu	34. Barnes N.
0. Curnell T.	21. Batista Vieira G.
32. Duarte I.	24. de Souza M.
16. Igor Andrade	18. Lupa S.
14. Miguel Santos	10. Materan J.
2. Oliveira J.	3. Souza Ferreira L. H.
28. Padilha J.
Coaches
. Guerra J.	. Gitiony R.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches São Paulo won 5.

São Paulo is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Pato is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pato could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Pato have a series of guest games.

Pato will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches São Paulo won 10 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 965:825 (average 87.7:75).

Including matches at home between the teams São Paulo won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 445:382 (average 89:76.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- São Paulo FC Basketball
Brazilian NBB
15.03.25	União Corinthians - São Paulo	95:74 ✺
13.03.25	Caxias do Sul - São Paulo	76:65 ✺
08.03.25	Vasco da Gama - São Paulo	88:78 ✺
04.03.25	São Paulo - Basquete Cearense	75:79 ✺
13.02.25	São Paulo - Unifacisa	68:66 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLLLW
- Pato Basquete
Brazilian NBB
26.03.25	Paulistano - Pato	77:94 ✺
14.03.25	Pato - Brasília Basquete	98:80 ✺
28.02.25	Flamengo - Pato	91:81 ✺
16.02.25	Botafogo - Pato	91:76 ✺
14.02.25	Vasco da Gama - Pato	98:86 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian NBB
17.10.24	Pato - São Paulo	81:88
07.02.24	Pato - São Paulo	74:80
20.11.23	São Paulo - Pato	89:67
14.01.23	Pato - São Paulo	69:84
27.10.22	São Paulo - Pato	99:90 OT (82:82)
23.03.22	Pato - São Paulo	62:82
12.01.22	São Paulo - Pato	86:77

São Paulo - Pato: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide