Match Info

NCAA

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday


	TCU Horned Frogs		Baylor Bears

	1	2
	1.77	2.1
	1.7	2.05
	1.73	2.01	Watch
	1.73	2.1
	1.7	2.09
	1.76	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.82)	2.08 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 157.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

TCU Horned Frogs
54.5%

Baylor Bears
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.4%

47.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

TCU Horned Frogs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Baylor Bears has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for TCU Horned Frogs than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baylor Bears than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

TCU Horned Frogs - Baylor Bears Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:78

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, TCU won 2.

TCU is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Baylor is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Baylor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, TCU won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 1348:1508. (average 67.4:75.4).

Including home matches between the teams, TCU won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 659:711. (average 65.9:71.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TCU Horned Frogs basketball
NCAA College Basketball
29.12.25	TCU Horned Frogs - Jackson State Tigers	115:64 ✺
21.12.25	TCU Horned Frogs - Florida A&M Rattlers	80:56 ✺
18.12.25	TCU Horned Frogs - Oral Roberts Golden Eagles	72:53 ✺
15.12.25	TCU Horned Frogs - Incarnate Word Cardinals	69:65 ✺
07.12.25	North Texas Mean Green - TCU Horned Frogs	55:65 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWWWW
- Baylor Bears basketball
NCAA College Basketball
21.12.25	Baylor Bears - Southern University Jaguars	111:67 ✺
19.12.25	Baylor Bears - Alcorn State Braves	113:56 ✺
10.12.25	Baylor Bears - Norfolk State Spartans	97:67 ✺
06.12.25	Memphis Tigers - Baylor Bears	78:71 ✺
02.12.25	Baylor Bears - Sacramento State Hornets	110:88 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
04.03.25	TCU Horned Frogs - Baylor Bears	58:61
19.01.25	Baylor Bears - TCU Horned Frogs	71:74
26.02.24	TCU Horned Frogs - Baylor Bears	54:62
27.01.24	Baylor Bears - TCU Horned Frogs	102:105 OT
11.02.23	TCU Horned Frogs - Baylor Bears	68:72
04.01.23	Baylor Bears - TCU Horned Frogs	87:88
19.02.22	Baylor Bears - TCU Horned Frogs	72:62

TCU Horned Frogs - Baylor Bears: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide