Match Info

EUROPE: Latvia-Estonian League - Play Offs - Final

Date: 20 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Unibet Arena (Tallinn)


	Tallinna Kalev		Prometey

	1	2
			Watch
	2.4	1.48
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.86	1.41
	2.86	1.42
	2.62	1.44
	2.8	1.4
	2.9	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↓ (2.95)	1.42 ↑ (1.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 157.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tallinna Kalev
34.1%

Prometey
65.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

68.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

67.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tallinna Kalev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Prometey has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tallinna Kalev than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Prometey than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Tallinna Kalev - Prometey Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 76:82

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
11. Bockler L.	17. Kennedy D. J.
13. Hermet K.	7. Lukashov D.
7. Jurkatamm M.	4. March R.
6. Shungu B.	21. Odiase T.
44. Suarez M.	5. Tkachenko I.
Substitutes
22. Dorbek M. (C)	0. Agada C.
9. Kaukiainen S.	12. Balvin O.
3. Kitsing K.	8. Bobrov V.
8. Kurbas T.	3. Clavell G.
20. Nurger R.	11. Lypovyy O.
14. Shephard G.	30. Sanon Y.
	55. Sydorov I. (C)
Coaches
. Rannula H.	. Ginzburg R.

Preview

Kalev is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Prometey is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Prometey could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Prometey will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Kalev won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 325-331.

Including matches at home between the teams Kalev won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 174-145.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Tallinna Kalev
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
16.04.24	Tallinna Kalev - BK Ventspils	84:73 ✺
12.04.24	BK Ventspils - Tallinna Kalev	85:70 ✺
09.04.24	Tallinna Kalev - BK Ventspils	91:65 ✺
01.04.24	Pärnu - Tallinna Kalev	63:77 ✺
29.03.24	Tallinna Kalev - Pärnu	83:77 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLWWW
- Prometey Basketball
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
14.04.24	VEF Riga - Prometey	66:87 ✺
10.04.24	Prometey - VEF Riga	76:66 ✺
03.04.24	Ogre - Prometey	82:90 ✺
30.03.24	Prometey - Ogre	97:82 ✺
27.03.24	TalTech - Prometey	81:104 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
06.01.24	Tallinna Kalev - Prometey	80:65
25.11.23	Prometey - Tallinna Kalev	103:72
04.02.23	Prometey - Tallinna Kalev	83:79
19.11.22	Tallinna Kalev - Prometey	94:80

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