Match Info

Latvian-Estonian League

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Olimpiskais centrs Ventspils (Ventspils) 🌤️ ...


	BK Ventspils		Tallinna Kalev

	1	2
	2.6	1.45
	2.86	1.37
	2.53	1.46	Watch
	2.75	1.4
	2.66	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↓ (2.82)	1.42 ↑ (1.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 178.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

BK Ventspils
34.6%

Tallinna Kalev
65.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32%

68%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

55.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

BK Ventspils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Tallinna Kalev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for BK Ventspils than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for BK Ventspils, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tallinna Kalev than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tallinna Kalev, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

BK Ventspils - Tallinna Kalev Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:92

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
2. Ausejs A. (C)	5. Acuff T.
24. Bryant Donell T. R.	3. Jelks S.
0. Johnson Cash A.	9. Kaukiainen S.
20. Shelton C.	1. Rosenthal M.
30. Zakis R.	10. Toom H.
Substitutes
15. Atanasovs N.	22. Dorbek M. (C)
10. Berze R.	7. Kasemets K.
7. Birkans R.	8. Kurbas T.
44. Censonis J.	00. Kurucs I.
31. Mezulis E.	0. Makke E.
23. Teirumnieks R.
9. Urkis A.
Coaches
. Fogels G.	. Mirolybov A.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ventspils won 2.

Ventspils has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Kalev is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Kalev may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Ventspils has had a series of home games.

In this match, Kalev is considered a favorite.

We predict that Kalev will win today's game, with odds of 1.32.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Ventspils won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 1409:1507. (average 78.3:83.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Ventspils won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 663:660. (average 82.9:82.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
4	Ventspils	7	5	2	621:589	0.714
6	BC Kalev	6	4	2	502:476	0.667

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BK Ventspils
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
10.03.26	BK Ventspils - Valmiera Glass Via	85:99 ✺
06.03.26	BK Ventspils - Keila Basket	95:83 ✺
Latvian Cup Basketball
21.02.26	BK Ventspils - Valmiera Glass Via	70:84 ✺
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
18.02.26	Liepāja - BK Ventspils	82:89 ✺
13.02.26	BK Ventspils - VEF Riga	78:87 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LWLWL
- BC Tallinna Kalev
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
10.03.26	Tallinna Kalev - Ogre	104:93 ✺
08.03.26	Tallinna Kalev - TalTech	91:78 ✺
03.03.26	Keila - Tallinna Kalev	73:98 ✺
14.02.26	Liepāja - Tallinna Kalev	94:97 OT ✺
13.02.26	Latvijas Universitāte - Tallinna Kalev	67:102 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
06.12.25	Tallinna Kalev - BK Ventspils	92:99 OT
12.03.25	BK Ventspils - Tallinna Kalev	85:93
30.12.24	Tallinna Kalev - BK Ventspils	89:81
16.04.24	Tallinna Kalev - BK Ventspils	84:73
12.04.24	BK Ventspils - Tallinna Kalev	85:70
09.04.24	Tallinna Kalev - BK Ventspils	91:65
19.03.24	Tallinna Kalev - BK Ventspils	81:60

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