Match Info

FIBA Europe Cup - Round 4

Date: 28 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: National Basketball Performance Centre (Manchester) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Fridriksson J. (Ice)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
International	19:00	FIBA TV


	Manchester Basketball		Tallinna Kalev

	1	2
	1.62	2.10
	1.63	2.18
	1.61	2.34
	1.68	2.08	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.7	2.08
	1.62	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (2.4)	2.17 ↑ (1.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 162.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manchester Basketball
57.1%

Tallinna Kalev
42.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.3%

61.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

56.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manchester Basketball has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Manchester Basketball's performance.

Tallinna Kalev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tallinna Kalev might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchester Basketball than the current prediction. (-13.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Manchester Basketball that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tallinna Kalev than the current prediction. (+13.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tallinna Kalev could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Manchester Basketball - Tallinna Kalev Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:80

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Henry K.	5. Allen K.
6. Nelson L. (C)	1. Falko J.
3. Sandy C.	33. Forrest D.
30. Shelton D.	13. Mccormack O.
5. Thompson K.	10. Toom H. (C)
Substitutes
1. Brown J.	41. Jurgens C.
7. Mitchell B.	88. Malmanis R.
34. Nicholson M.	3. Saal P.
12. Pigge C.	4. Saar H.
2. Walsh E.	2. Vuks K.
33. Williams C.	7. Vuks R.
Coaches
. Otten M.	. Nomm B.

Preview

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Recently, Kalev has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

Kalev is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manchester Basketball
British Basketball League
23.10.26	Leicester Riders - Manchester Basketball	87:89 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
21.10.26	Körfez - Manchester Basketball	112:71 ✺
British Basketball League
18.10.26	Manchester Basketball - Caledonia Gladiators	92:94 ✺
16.10.26	Newcastle Eagles - Manchester Basketball	78:81 ✺
09.10.26	Manchester Basketball - Cheshire Phoenix	91:105 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLLWL
- BC Tallinna Kalev
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
24.10.26	Tallinna Kalev - Keila Basket	98:77 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
21.10.26	Tallinna Kalev - Bashkimi Prizren	88:84 ✺
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
17.10.26	Tallinna Kalev - Rigas Juniori	100:79 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
14.10.26	Valmiera Glass Via - Tallinna Kalev	82:74 ✺
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
10.10.26	Tallinna Kalev - BK Ventspils	73:86 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WWWLL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manchester Basketball
British Basketball League
01.11.26	Liverpool - Manchester Basketball	✺
- BC Tallinna Kalev
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
31.10.26	Tallinna Kalev - Rīgas Zeļļi	✺

Manchester Basketball - Tallinna Kalev