Match Info

Latvian-Estonian League

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Unibet Arena (Tallinn)


	Tallinna Kalev		VEF Riga

	1	2
			Watch
	1.47	2.55
	1.53	2.33	Watch
	1.5	2.5
	1.51	2.39
	1.41	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.41)	2.49 ↓ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 171.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tallinna Kalev
62.7%

VEF Riga
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.9%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tallinna Kalev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

VEF Riga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tallinna Kalev than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for VEF Riga than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Tallinna Kalev - VEF Riga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 88:84

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Hermet K.	7. Aleksandrovs R.
9. Kaukiainen S.	1. Bumeisters R.
15. Miska A.	22. Butirins R.
1. Rosenthal M.	0. Porter Z.
10. Toom H.	55. Sydorov I.
Substitutes
5. Acuff T.	5. Andzevs A.
22. Dorbek M. (C)	9. Bertans Dai. (C)
7. Kasemets K.	35. Kilps K.
8. Kurbas T.	32. Niedra J.
11. Kuuba G.	6. Rocak T.
0. Makke E.	11. Vanags R.
42. Rutherford T.
Coaches
. Mirolybov A.	. Gulbis M.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kalev won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Kalev may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Kalev might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kalev won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 1557:1659. (average 77.9:83).

Including home matches between the teams, Kalev won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 764:834. (average 76.4:83.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
1	VEF Riga	5	5	0	458:324	1.000
7	BC Kalev/Cramo	4	2	2	304:320	0.500

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Tallinna Kalev
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
23.12.25	Tallinna Kalev - Valmiera Glass Via	99:87 ✺
20.12.25	Tallinna Kalev - Liepāja	99:73 ✺
13.12.25	Ogre - Tallinna Kalev	111:101 OT ✺
06.12.25	Tallinna Kalev - BK Ventspils	92:99 OT ✺
22.11.25	VEF Riga - Tallinna Kalev	90:85 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 WWLLL
- VEF Riga
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
27.12.25	VEF Riga - Keila Basket	105:62 ✺
21.12.25	Rīgas Zeļļi - VEF Riga	80:77 ✺
Champions League Basketball
16.12.25	Astrum Levice - VEF Riga	85:69 ✺
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
13.12.25	VEF Riga - Pärnu	90:80 ✺
Champions League Basketball
10.12.25	VEF Riga - Szolnoki Olaj	76:62 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
22.11.25	VEF Riga - Tallinna Kalev	90:85
05.03.25	VEF Riga - Tallinna Kalev	85:96
26.09.24	Tallinna Kalev - VEF Riga	63:84
16.03.24	VEF Riga - Tallinna Kalev	76:82
28.11.23	Tallinna Kalev - VEF Riga	73:66
07.04.23	Tallinna Kalev - VEF Riga	65:83
10.12.22	VEF Riga - Tallinna Kalev	91:67

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