Match Info

Latvian-Estonian League

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Unibet Arena (Tallinn)


	Tallinna Kalev		Liepāja

	1	2
			Watch
	1.04	9
	1.03	8.55
	1.06	7.34	Watch
	1.04	10
	1.03	8.4
	1.07	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.05 ↑ (1.03)	8.47 ↓ (9.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 169.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-17)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tallinna Kalev
89%

Liepāja
11%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

90.3%

9.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tallinna Kalev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Liepāja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Tallinna Kalev - Liepāja Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kalev (votes: 1 - 50%). Liepāja (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +15.5, OT - Liepāja (2.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Kalev (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Liepāja (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 94:77

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Hermet K.	53. DuSell X.
9. Kaukiainen S. (C)	6. Feierbergs K.
15. Miska A.	8. Krumins E. (C)
1. Rosenthal M.	0. Kurucs I.
10. Toom H.	10. Sulcs K.
Substitutes
5. Acuff T.	17. Bajars H.
7. Kasemets K.	1. Egle E.
8. Kurbas T.	5. Martinsons R.
11. Kuuba G.	77. Petrovics H.
0. Makke E.	11. Shymanskyi V.
42. Rutherford T.
21. Tongue C.
Coaches
. Mirolybov A.	. Visockis-Rubenis A.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kalev won 5.

Kalev has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Liepāja is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Liepāja may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Kalev is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Kalev won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1284:1051. (average 91.7:75.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Kalev won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 641:502. (average 91.6:71.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Tallinna Kalev
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
13.12.25	Ogre - Tallinna Kalev	111:101 OT ✺
06.12.25	Tallinna Kalev - BK Ventspils	92:99 OT ✺
22.11.25	VEF Riga - Tallinna Kalev	90:85 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
19.11.25	Tallinna Kalev - Trefl Sopot	101:83 ✺
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
15.11.25	Tallinna Kalev - Keila Basket	123:65 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLLWW
- BK Liepāja
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
12.12.25	Liepāja - Rīgas Zeļļi	77:79 ✺
05.12.25	Ogre - Liepāja	76:83 ✺
23.11.25	Liepāja - Pärnu	83:90 ✺
16.11.25	BK Ventspils - Liepāja	104:69 ✺
08.11.25	Liepāja - Viimsi	80:83 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
25.03.25	Liepāja - Tallinna Kalev	81:82
21.03.25	Tallinna Kalev - Liepāja	86:76
25.01.25	Liepāja - Tallinna Kalev	88:92
11.10.24	Tallinna Kalev - Liepāja	90:74
08.03.24	Tallinna Kalev - Liepāja	91:69
10.10.23	Liepāja - Tallinna Kalev	90:93
28.01.23	Liepāja - Tallinna Kalev	92:93 OT

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