Match Info

NBL

Date: 15 May 2026, Friday

Location: Unison Arena (Rotorua)


	Tauranga Whai		Manawatu Jets

	1	2
			Watch
	1.32	2.95	Watch
	1.34	2.97
	1.33	2.82
	1.33	3
	1.35	2.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↑ (1.3)	2.9 ↓ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 187.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tauranga Whai
68.5%

Manawatu Jets
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tauranga Whai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Manawatu Jets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tauranga Whai than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manawatu Jets than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Tauranga Whai - Manawatu Jets Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Whai will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Manawatu Jets will win (votes: 3 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Whai (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 98:91

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
8. Marsters X.	25. Evans K.
6. Murray T.	24. Poplar Jr. J. A.
2. Stoddart N.	2. Richards L.
22. Tata N.	10. Sand K. (C)
7. Te Rangi R.	4. Small I.
Substitutes
66. Bezzant J. (C)	3. Caldwell B.
11. Collins D.	38. Heather W.
13. Flavell C.	7. Leota R.
5. Hopoi C.	8. Makoii I.
1. Kelly J.	1. McDaniel C.
21. Rapson F.	9. Webster C.
4. Thompson J.	13. Zahran H.
Coaches
. Lacey M.	. Webster T.

Preview

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Whai may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Whai is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Whai won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 188:200. (average 94:100).

Including home match between the teams, Whai won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 103:93.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tauranga Whai
New Zealand NBL
08.05.26	Tauranga Whai - Canterbury Rams	79:99 ✺
01.05.26	Tauranga Whai - Franklin Bulls	88:103 ✺
25.04.26	Southland Sharks - Tauranga Whai	106:84 ✺
24.04.26	Otago Nuggets - Tauranga Whai	92:81 ✺
18.04.26	Tauranga Whai - Taranaki Airs	87:62 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLLLW
- Manawatu Jets
New Zealand NBL
13.05.26	Franklin Bulls - Manawatu Jets	103:112 ✺
09.05.26	Manawatu Jets - Southland Sharks	78:102 ✺
03.05.26	Southland Sharks - Manawatu Jets	118:100 ✺
01.05.26	Otago Nuggets - Manawatu Jets	99:96 ✺
25.04.26	Manawatu Jets - Auckland Tuatara	80:100 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand NBL
02.07.25	Tauranga Whai - Manawatu Jets	103:93
24.04.25	Manawatu Jets - Tauranga Whai	107:85

Tauranga Whai - Manawatu Jets: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide