Match Info

NBL

Date: 1 May 2026, Friday

Location: Edgar Centre (Dunedin)


	Otago Nuggets		Manawatu Jets

	1	2
			Watch
	1.2	3.75	Watch
	1.23	3.66
	1.17	4.41	Watch
	1.2	4
	1.2	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.2 ↓ (1.4)	3.96 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 192.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-10)

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Otago Nuggets
76.8%

Manawatu Jets
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.6%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Otago Nuggets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Otago Nuggets's performance.

Manawatu Jets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Manawatu Jets might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Otago Nuggets - Manawatu Jets Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 101:91

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Henn M.	25. Evans K.
13. Louis A.	24. Poplar Jr. J. A.
18. McKenzie Z.	2. Richards L.
12. Rusbatch E. (C)	10. Sand K. (C)
5. Tuach B.	13. Zahran H.
Substitutes
7. Bardsley M.	3. Caldwell B.
9. Bezett H.	11. Chout C.
4. Chisholm O.	44. Holcombe A.
43. Hunt T.	7. Leota R.
21. Martin C.	21. Leusogi-Ape D.
8. Miller-Jose I.	8. Makoii I.
1. Thata-Paese T.	1. McDaniel C.
Coaches
. Sparrow J.	. Webster T.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Otago Nuggets won 4.

Otago Nuggets may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Otago Nuggets is a strong favorite.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Otago Nuggets won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1487:1317. (average 99.1:87.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Otago Nuggets won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 910:778. (average 101.1:86.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Otago Nuggets
New Zealand NBL
24.04.26	Otago Nuggets - Tauranga Whai	92:81 ✺
15.04.26	Otago Nuggets - Nelson Giants	86:77 ✺
10.04.26	Southland Sharks - Otago Nuggets	68:95 ✺
05.07.25	Manawatu Jets - Otago Nuggets	95:101 ✺
04.07.25	Taranaki Airs - Otago Nuggets	93:83 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.4 WWWWL
- Manawatu Jets
New Zealand NBL
25.04.26	Manawatu Jets - Auckland Tuatara	80:100 ✺
17.04.26	Hawkes Bay Hawks - Manawatu Jets	102:109 ✺
11.04.26	Wellington Saints - Manawatu Jets	117:81 ✺
09.04.26	Manawatu Jets - Taranaki Airs	85:91 ✺
05.07.25	Manawatu Jets - Otago Nuggets	95:101 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand NBL
05.07.25	Manawatu Jets - Otago Nuggets	95:101
27.03.25	Otago Nuggets - Manawatu Jets	108:104
02.06.24	Manawatu Jets - Otago Nuggets	88:99
05.04.24	Otago Nuggets - Manawatu Jets	112:103
08.06.23	Manawatu Jets - Otago Nuggets	99:94
09.04.23	Otago Nuggets - Manawatu Jets	68:67
17.07.22	Otago Nuggets - Manawatu Jets	103:76

Otago Nuggets - Manawatu Jets: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide