Match Info

NCAA

Date: 16 December 2025, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ESPN
Croatia	SportKlub 1
France	beIN Sports MAX 4


	Tennessee Volunteers		Louisville Cardinals

	1	2
	1.65	2.3
	1.6	2.22
	1.66	2.27
	1.63	2.17	Watch
	1.65	2.25
	1.64	2.14
	1.64	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.85)	2.24 ↑ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 156.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tennessee Volunteers
57.7%

Louisville Cardinals
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

50.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tennessee Volunteers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tennessee Volunteers's performance.

Louisville Cardinals has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Louisville Cardinals might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tennessee Volunteers than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tennessee Volunteers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Louisville Cardinals than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Louisville Cardinals could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tennessee Volunteers - Louisville Cardinals Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5, OT - Tennessee (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tennessee (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 77:79

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Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Louisville may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Tennessee won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 169:136. (average 84.5:68).

Including home match between the teams, Tennessee won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 92:81.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tennessee Volunteers basketball
NCAA College Basketball
06.12.25	Tennessee Volunteers - Illinois Fighting Illini	62:75 ✺
02.12.25	Syracuse Orange - Tennessee Volunteers	62:60 ✺
26.11.25	Tennessee Volunteers - Kansas Jayhawks	76:81 ✺
25.11.25	Houston Cougars - Tennessee Volunteers	73:76 ✺
24.11.25	Tennessee Volunteers - Rutgers Scarlet Knights	85:60 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLLWW
- Louisville Cardinals basketball
NCAA College Basketball
13.12.25	Louisville Cardinals - Memphis Tigers	99:73 ✺
06.12.25	Indiana Hoosiers - Louisville Cardinals	87:78 ✺
03.12.25	Arkansas Razorbacks - Louisville Cardinals	89:80 ✺
26.11.25	Louisville Cardinals - NJIT Highlanders	104:47 ✺
24.11.25	Louisville Cardinals - Eastern Michigan Eagles	87:46 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
09.11.24	Louisville Cardinals - Tennessee Volunteers	55:77
21.11.18	Tennessee Volunteers - Louisville Cardinals	92:81

Tennessee Volunteers - Louisville Cardinals: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide