Match Info

NCAA

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday


	Texas State Bobcats		South Alabama Jaguars

	1	2
	1.59	2.45
	1.55	2.33
	1.58	2.27	Watch
	1.57	2.4
	1.59	2.24
	1.58	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.66)	2.36 ↑ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 136.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Texas State Bobcats
59.9%

South Alabama Jaguars
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Texas State Bobcats has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

South Alabama Jaguars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Texas State Bobcats than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for South Alabama Jaguars than the current prediction. (+3%)

Texas State Bobcats - South Alabama Jaguars Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. South Alabama (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 70:67

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Texas State won 2.

Texas State is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, South Alabama has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

South Alabama may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Texas State won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 1309:1260. (average 68.9:66.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Texas State won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 692:628. (average 76.9:69.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Texas State Bobcats basketball
NCAA College Basketball
17.12.25	Texas State Bobcats - Arkansas State Red Wolves	70:89 ✺
10.12.25	Texas State Bobcats - Southern University Jaguars	86:83 ✺
03.12.25	Rice Owls - Texas State Bobcats	77:72 ✺
29.11.25	Texas State Bobcats - Lehigh Mountain Hawks	74:78 OT ✺
28.11.25	Seattle Redhawks - Texas State Bobcats	66:52 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWLLL
- South Alabama Jaguars basketball
NCAA College Basketball
17.12.25	Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks - South Alabama Jaguars	92:96 OT ✺
14.12.25	South Alabama Jaguars - North Texas Mean Green	57:58 ✺
05.12.25	East Tennessee State Buccaneers - South Alabama Jaguars	91:65 ✺
02.12.25	South Alabama Jaguars - New Mexico State Aggies	75:77 ✺
30.11.25	UT-San Antonio Roadrunners - South Alabama Jaguars	58:82 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
22.02.25	Texas State Bobcats - South Alabama Jaguars	93:92 OT
15.02.25	South Alabama Jaguars - Texas State Bobcats	70:65 OT
15.02.24	South Alabama Jaguars - Texas State Bobcats	72:55
01.02.24	Texas State Bobcats - South Alabama Jaguars	74:66
22.02.23	Texas State Bobcats - South Alabama Jaguars	67:76
07.01.23	South Alabama Jaguars - Texas State Bobcats	58:64
23.02.22	South Alabama Jaguars - Texas State Bobcats	52:55

Texas State Bobcats - South Alabama Jaguars: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide