Match Info
NCAADate: 11 February 2026, Wednesday
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Texas State Bobcats |
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Troy Trojans |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.65 |
|
1.45 |
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 |
2.6 |
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1.45 |
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 |
2.77 |
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1.47 |
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 |
2.43 |
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1.5 |
 Watch |
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2.7 |
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1.47 |
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 |
2.74 |
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1.45 |
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 |
2.85 |
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1.44 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.68 ↑
(2.6) |
|
1.46 ↑
(1.41) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 139.00
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)
- The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Texas State Bobcats
35.3% | Troy Trojans
64.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Texas State Bobcats has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)Troy Trojans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Texas State Bobcats than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Troy Trojans than the current prediction. (-0.5%)Predictions
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Texas State (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Texas State Bobcats will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%.
Score Prediction (the most likely result by bookmakers): 68:73 
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Texas State won 3.Texas State is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).Troy has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3). Troy is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Texas State won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 1317:1324. (average 65.9:66.2).Including home matches between the teams, Texas State won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 647:649. (average 64.7:64.9).
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| NCAA College Basketball | | | 31.12.25 | Troy Trojans - Texas State Bobcats | 100:80 | | 25.02.25 | Texas State Bobcats - Troy Trojans | 69:74 | | 09.01.25 | Troy Trojans - Texas State Bobcats | 73:74 | | 09.03.24 | Troy Trojans - Texas State Bobcats | 68:74 | | 01.03.24 | Texas State Bobcats - Troy Trojans | 82:79 OT | | 24.01.24 | Troy Trojans - Texas State Bobcats | 78:65 | | 04.02.23 | Troy Trojans - Texas State Bobcats | 68:64 |
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