Match Info

NCAA

Date: 11 February 2026, Wednesday


	Texas State Bobcats		Troy Trojans

	1	2
	2.65	1.45
	2.6	1.45
	2.77	1.47
	2.43	1.5	Watch
	2.7	1.47
	2.74	1.45
	2.85	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.6)	1.46 ↑ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 139.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Texas State Bobcats
35.3%

Troy Trojans
64.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

64.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

64.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Texas State Bobcats has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Troy Trojans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Texas State Bobcats than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Troy Trojans than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Texas State Bobcats - Troy Trojans Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Texas State will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Troy will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Texas State (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 68:73

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Texas State won 3.

Texas State is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Troy has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Troy is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Texas State won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 1317:1324. (average 65.9:66.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Texas State won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 647:649. (average 64.7:64.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Texas State Bobcats basketball
NCAA College Basketball
07.02.26	Texas State Bobcats - Western Michigan Broncos	77:61 ✺
04.02.26	Georgia Southern Eagles - Texas State Bobcats	71:77 ✺
31.01.26	Texas State Bobcats - Old Dominion Monarchs	81:64 ✺
28.01.26	Texas State Bobcats - Marshall Thundering Herd	72:68 ✺
24.01.26	James Madison Dukes - Texas State Bobcats	82:57 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWWWL
- Troy Trojans basketball
NCAA College Basketball
07.02.26	Troy Trojans - Akron Zips	79:69 ✺
04.02.26	Georgia State Panthers - Troy Trojans	63:74 ✺
31.01.26	Troy Trojans - Appalachian State Mountaineers	44:66 ✺
29.01.26	Troy Trojans - James Madison Dukes	64:73 ✺
24.01.26	Georgia Southern Eagles - Troy Trojans	78:83 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
31.12.25	Troy Trojans - Texas State Bobcats	100:80
25.02.25	Texas State Bobcats - Troy Trojans	69:74
09.01.25	Troy Trojans - Texas State Bobcats	73:74
09.03.24	Troy Trojans - Texas State Bobcats	68:74
01.03.24	Texas State Bobcats - Troy Trojans	82:79 OT
24.01.24	Troy Trojans - Texas State Bobcats	78:65
04.02.23	Troy Trojans - Texas State Bobcats	68:64

Texas State Bobcats - Troy Trojans: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide