Match Info

Premier League - Play Offs - Final

Date: 18 May 2026, Monday

Location: Saudarkrokur (Saudarkrokur)


	Tindastóll		Grindavík

	1	2
			Watch
	1.13	4.65	Watch
	1.07	6.33
	1.09	5.93
	1.1	6.5
	1.09	5.9	Watch
	1.32	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.13 ↓ (1.32)	5.38 ↑ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 180.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tindastóll
82.6%

Grindavík
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.7%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.9%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tindastóll has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tindastóll's performance.

Grindavík has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Grindavík might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tindastóll than the current prediction. (-19.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tindastóll that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grindavík than the current prediction. (+19.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Grindavík could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tindastóll - Grindavík Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 94:87

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Agustsson J.	12. Bragason R.
5. Badmus T.	8. Gylfason K. (C)
1. Basile D.	24. Helgason A.
15. Drungilas A.	2. Pargo J.
11. Geks D.	45. Semple J.
Substitutes
34. Agustsson R.	77. Atlason P.
12. Agustsson V.	56. Coddon I.
8. Arnarsson V.	10. Karason U.
7. Birgisson P. (C)	15. Nokkvason N.
6. Bjornsson S.	93. Thorvaldsson A.
10. Dolenc D.	21. Valsson V.
35. Masson H.
Coaches
. Gudjonsson A.	. Olafsson J.

Preview

Grindavik leads series 2-1. Fourth leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tindastóll won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Grindavík may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Tindastóll is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tindastóll won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1813:1816. (average 90.7:90.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Tindastóll won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 822:789. (average 91.3:87.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
5	Tindastoll	1	1	0	85:77	2
9	Grindavik	1	0	1	80:91	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UMF Tindastóll Basketball
Icelandic Premier League Basketball
15.05.26	Grindavík - Tindastóll	89:94 ✺
12.05.26	Tindastóll - Grindavík	83:86 ✺
09.05.26	Grindavík - Tindastóll	85:80 ✺
06.05.26	Tindastóll - Stjarnan	100:91 ✺
03.05.26	Stjarnan - Tindastóll	97:103 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLLWW
- Grindavík Basketball
Icelandic Premier League Basketball
15.05.26	Grindavík - Tindastóll	89:94 ✺
12.05.26	Tindastóll - Grindavík	83:86 ✺
09.05.26	Grindavík - Tindastóll	85:80 ✺
06.05.26	Grindavík - Valur	109:82 ✺
04.05.26	Valur - Grindavík	85:79 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Premier League Basketball
15.05.26	Grindavík - Tindastóll	89:94
12.05.26	Tindastóll - Grindavík	83:86
09.05.26	Grindavík - Tindastóll	85:80
07.03.26	Tindastóll - Grindavík	92:87
20.11.25	Grindavík - Tindastóll	91:75
23.01.25	Tindastóll - Grindavík	97:79
25.10.24	Grindavík - Tindastóll	90:93

Tindastóll - Grindavík: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide