Match Info

Super Lig - Round 30

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Tofas Spor Salonu (Bursa)


	Tofaş		Petkim Spor

	1	2
			Watch
	4.1	1.2	Watch
	4.64	1.1
	4.05	1.21	Watch
	2.5	1.47
	3.37	1.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.73 ↑ (1.74)	1.26 ↓ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 169.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tofaş
25.2%

Petkim Spor
74.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

47.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.1%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tofaş has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-27.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tofaş's form might have worsened.

Petkim Spor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+27.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Petkim Spor's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tofaş than the current prediction. (+31.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tofaş, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Petkim Spor than the current prediction. (-31.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Petkim Spor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.5%	0%	38.5%

Tofaş - Petkim Spor Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Tofaş will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Petkim Spor will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tofaş: 35% – 88%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:87

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Besson H.	6. Blumbergs R.
22. Blazevic M.	4. Efianayi D.
8. Gecim T. (C)	7. Kurtuldum M.
2. Perez-Kaufmann A.	19. Sajus M.
3. Saybir Y.	3. Whittaker S.
Substitutes
10. Basaran Y. C.	0. Brown J.
1. Cengiz O.	20. Floyd J.
11. Kabaca E.	5. Franke Y.
15. Kidd L.	2. Guler B.
30. Korkmaz F.	12. Kaba Y.
6. Postel E.	15. Sav T.
24. Serbest E.	9. Sonsirma Y. (C)
Coaches
. Yilmaz M.	. Ene O.

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tofaş won 4.

Recent form of Tofaş has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Petkim Spor has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Petkim Spor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Petkim Spor might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Tofaş won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1232:1122. (average 88:80.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Tofaş won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 605:551. (average 86.4:78.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
8	Petkim Spor	3	1	2	262:268	4
9	Tofas	3	1	2	256:277	4

Last Results with these Odds

Tofaş - the odds 1.74 are the expected chance of winning is 52.46%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tofas S.K.
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
03.05.26	Tofaş - Karşıyaka	87:78 ✺
25.04.26	Bahcesehir Koleji - Tofaş	78:76 ✺
17.04.26	Tofaş - Beşiktaş	84:98 ✺
12.04.26	Körfez - Tofaş	100:96 ✺
04.04.26	Tofaş - Trabzonspor	71:91 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WLLLL
- Petkim Spor
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
05.05.26	Beşiktaş - Petkim Spor	81:69 ✺
01.05.26	Petkim Spor - Bahcesehir Koleji	76:95 ✺
19.04.26	Petkim Spor - Körfez	100:87 ✺
12.04.26	Trabzonspor - Petkim Spor	72:74 ✺
05.04.26	Petkim Spor - Anadolu Efes Pilsen	60:85 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
11.01.26	Petkim Spor - Tofaş	76:82
Club Friendly Basketball
20.09.25	Tofaş - Petkim Spor	89:90
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
22.03.25	Petkim Spor - Tofaş	88:95
17.11.24	Tofaş - Petkim Spor	107:99
11.02.24	Tofaş - Petkim Spor	84:71
28.10.23	Petkim Spor - Tofaş	107:100 OT
29.04.23	Petkim Spor - Tofaş	85:95

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