Match Info

Super Lig - Round 29

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Tofas Spor Salonu (Bursa)


	Tofaş		Karşıyaka

	1	2
			Watch
	2.1	1.62
	2.18	1.63	Watch
	2.11	1.62
	2.08	1.68	Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.16	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (1.99)	1.63 ↓ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 173.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tofaş
43.2%

Karşıyaka
56.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

48.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tofaş has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Karşıyaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tofaş than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tofaş, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karşıyaka than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Karşıyaka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Tofaş - Karşıyaka Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Tofaş will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Karşıyaka will win (votes: 6 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tofaş: 35.2% – 84.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tofaş (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 88:86

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Besson H.	14. Bishop C.
22. Blazevic M.	4. Geyik S.
8. Gecim T. (C)	21. Manning Jr. C.
2. Perez-Kaufmann A.	42. Moody S.
3. Saybir Y.	3. Sokolowski M.
Substitutes
10. Basaran Y. C.	32. Alston J.
1. Cengiz O.	35. Celep M. (C)
11. Kabaca E.	13. Eminoglu E.
15. Kidd L.	8. Gordic N.
30. Korkmaz F.	5. Mentese S.
6. Postel E.	24. Ozcelik E.
24. Serbest E.	1. Young C.
Coaches
. Yilmaz M.	. Kandemir A.

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ TBL).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tofaş won 3.

Tofaş is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Karşıyaka is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Karşıyaka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tofaş won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 1701:1653. (average 85.1:82.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Tofaş won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 880:831. (average 88:83.1).

Outrights of Turkish Basketball Super Ligi for now

Tofas: 0.94%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
7	Karsiyaka	3	1	2	232:236	4
9	Tofas	3	1	2	256:277	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tofas S.K.
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
25.04.26	Bahcesehir Koleji - Tofaş	78:76 ✺
17.04.26	Tofaş - Beşiktaş	84:98 ✺
12.04.26	Körfez - Tofaş	100:96 ✺
04.04.26	Tofaş - Trabzonspor	71:91 ✺
29.03.26	Anadolu Efes Pilsen - Tofaş	92:82 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Karşıyaka Basket
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
26.04.26	Karşıyaka - Esenler Erokspor	68:67 ✺
18.04.26	Bahcesehir Koleji - Karşıyaka	74:88 ✺
11.04.26	Karşıyaka - Büyükçekmece	96:87 ✺
06.04.26	Beşiktaş - Karşıyaka	92:86 ✺
29.03.26	Karşıyaka - Mersin SK	92:87 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.7 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
02.01.26	Karşıyaka - Tofaş	107:101 OT
17.05.25	Tofaş - Karşıyaka	90:76
19.01.25	Karşıyaka - Tofaş	81:93
21.04.24	Tofaş - Karşıyaka	111:91
24.12.23	Karşıyaka - Tofaş	98:71
05.03.23	Tofaş - Karşıyaka	81:86
21.10.22	Karşıyaka - Tofaş	72:83

Tofaş - Karşıyaka: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide