What is the expert prediction for Toronto Raptors vs Atlanta Hawks?

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Toronto Raptors vs Atlanta Hawks Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Monday, January 05, 2026)

Match Info

NBA

Date: 5 January 2026, Monday

Location: Scotiabank Arena (Toronto, ON)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	NBA Global League Pass


	Toronto Raptors		Atlanta Hawks

	1	2
	1.71	2.2	Watch
	1.68	2.18
	1.75	2.17	Watch
	1.67	2.2
	1.72	2.28
	1.71	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.6)	2.21 ↓ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 236.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toronto Raptors
56.4%

Atlanta Hawks
43.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.4%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.2%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toronto Raptors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Atlanta Hawks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Raptors than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Toronto Raptors, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlanta Hawks than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlanta Hawks, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	0%	44.4%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). Atlanta will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlanta: 28.1% – 78.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Toronto (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Atlanta (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -7.5, OT - Atlanta (4.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -3, OT - Toronto (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 233.5, OT - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 234, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Toronto (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Atlanta (votes: 6 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 120:117

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
9. Barrett R.	10. Risacher Z.
4. Barnes S.	1. Johnson J.
12. Murray-Boyles C.	17. Okongwu O.
3. Ingram B.	7. Alexander-Walker N.
5. Quickley I.	5. Daniels D.
Substitutes
30. Agbaji O.	18. Gueye M.
11. Bamba M.	33. Houstan C.
1. Dick G.	3. Kennard L.
00. Lawson A.	27. Krejci V.
54. Mamukelashvili S.	14. Newell A.
2. Mogbo J.	8. Porzingis K.
23. Shead J.	2. Wallace K.
17. Temple G.
14. Walter J.
Coaches
. Rajakovic D.	. Snyder Q.

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 5.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Atlanta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Toronto has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Toronto: Poeltl J. (Lower Back Injury)

There will not play in Atlanta: Dante N. (Knee Injury) Porzingis K. (Lacking Match Fitness) Young T. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Atlanta: Kennard L. (Back Injury)

We predict that Toronto will win today's game, with odds of 1.69.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 2371:2338. (average 118.6:116.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1188:1180. (average 118.8:118).

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Toronto Raptors
NBA
03.01.26	Toronto Raptors - Atlanta Hawks	134:117 ✺
31.12.25	Toronto Raptors - Denver Nuggets	103:106 ✺
29.12.25	Toronto Raptors - Orlando Magic	107:106 ✺
28.12.25	Toronto Raptors - Golden State Warriors	141:127 OT ✺
26.12.25	Washington Wizards - Toronto Raptors	138:117 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLWWL
- Atlanta Hawks
NBA
03.01.26	Toronto Raptors - Atlanta Hawks	134:117 ✺
02.01.26	New York Knicks - Atlanta Hawks	99:111 ✺
31.12.25	Atlanta Hawks - Minnesota Timberwolves	126:102 ✺
29.12.25	Oklahoma City Thunder - Atlanta Hawks	140:129 ✺
27.12.25	Atlanta Hawks - New York Knicks	125:128 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

NBA
03.01.26	Toronto Raptors - Atlanta Hawks	134:117
07.11.25	Atlanta Hawks - Toronto Raptors	97:109
22.10.25	Atlanta Hawks - Toronto Raptors	118:138
25.01.25	Atlanta Hawks - Toronto Raptors	94:117
23.01.25	Atlanta Hawks - Toronto Raptors	119:122
29.12.24	Toronto Raptors - Atlanta Hawks	107:136
23.02.24	Atlanta Hawks - Toronto Raptors	121:123

Toronto Raptors - Atlanta Hawks: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide