Match Info

NBA - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 1 May 2026, Friday

Location: Scotiabank Arena (Toronto, ON)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	NBA Global League Pass


	Toronto Raptors		Cleveland Cavaliers

	1	2
	2.65	1.5	Watch
	2.45	1.56
	2.48	1.54
	2.62	1.57
	2.9	1.46	Watch
	2.6	1.5	Watch
	2.77	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.33)	1.52 ↓ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 219.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toronto Raptors
36.6%

Cleveland Cavaliers
63.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

59.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

57.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toronto Raptors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Cleveland Cavaliers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Raptors than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Toronto Raptors, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cleveland Cavaliers than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cleveland Cavaliers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.3%	0%	36.7%

Toronto Raptors - Cleveland Cavaliers Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 19 - 65.5%). Cleveland will win (votes: 10 - 34.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Toronto: 48.2% – 82.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Toronto Raptors will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 108:113

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
9. Barrett R.	2. Strus M.
4. Barnes S.	4. Mobley E.
19. Poeltl J.	31. Allen J.
14. Walter J.	45. Mitchell D.
23. Shead J.	1. Harden J.
Coaches
. Rajakovic D.	. Atkinson K.

Preview

Cleveland Cavaliers leads series 3-2. Sixth leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Cleveland could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 2169:2255. (average 108.5:112.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 970:992. (average 107.8:110.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Cleveland Cavaliers - the odds 1.59 are the expected chance of winning is 59.44%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Toronto Raptors
NBA
29.04.26	Cleveland Cavaliers - Toronto Raptors	125:120 ✺
26.04.26	Toronto Raptors - Cleveland Cavaliers	93:89 ✺
23.04.26	Toronto Raptors - Cleveland Cavaliers	126:104 ✺
20.04.26	Cleveland Cavaliers - Toronto Raptors	115:105 ✺
18.04.26	Cleveland Cavaliers - Toronto Raptors	126:113 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWWLL
- Cleveland Cavaliers
NBA
29.04.26	Cleveland Cavaliers - Toronto Raptors	125:120 ✺
26.04.26	Toronto Raptors - Cleveland Cavaliers	93:89 ✺
23.04.26	Toronto Raptors - Cleveland Cavaliers	126:104 ✺
20.04.26	Cleveland Cavaliers - Toronto Raptors	115:105 ✺
18.04.26	Cleveland Cavaliers - Toronto Raptors	126:113 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

NBA
29.04.26	Cleveland Cavaliers - Toronto Raptors	125:120
26.04.26	Toronto Raptors - Cleveland Cavaliers	93:89
23.04.26	Toronto Raptors - Cleveland Cavaliers	126:104
20.04.26	Cleveland Cavaliers - Toronto Raptors	115:105
18.04.26	Cleveland Cavaliers - Toronto Raptors	126:113
24.11.25	Toronto Raptors - Cleveland Cavaliers	110:99
13.11.25	Cleveland Cavaliers - Toronto Raptors	113:126

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