Match Info

B.League

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Toyota Arena Tokyo (Tokyo)


	Toyota Alvark		Hiroshima Dragonflies

	1	2
	1.56	2.3
	1.53	2.25	Watch
	1.55	2.39	Watch
	1.57	2.38
	1.5	2.42
	1.54	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.57)	2.35 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 161.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toyota Alvark
60.4%

Hiroshima Dragonflies
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.2%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toyota Alvark has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Hiroshima Dragonflies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toyota Alvark than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hiroshima Dragonflies than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Toyota Alvark - Hiroshima Dragonflies Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:79

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
10. Baranski Z. (C)	23. Cockburn K.
17. Foster M.	13. Evans D.
22. Rossiter R.	3. Ito T.
11. Saiz S.	24. Mayo N.
3. Toews K.	34. Mitani K.
Substitutes
60. Fieler C.	32. Hareyama K.
25. Fukuzawa K.	1. Ichikawa M.
21. Hiraiwa G.	10. Kamisawa T. (C)
13. Kikuchi S.	8. Smith C.
75. Osakabe T.	0. Terashima R.
	21. Watanabe R.
	30. Yamazaki R.
Coaches
. Adomaitis D.	. Asayama S.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alvark won 3.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Alvark could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alvark won 17 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1669:1448. (average 83.5:72.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Alvark won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1005:874. (average 83.8:72.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Hiroshima Dragonflies - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 40.78%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Toyota Alvark Tokyo
Japan B League Premier
03.01.26	Toyota Alvark - Hiroshima Dragonflies	79:87 ✺
28.12.25	SeaHorses Mikawa - Toyota Alvark	79:82 ✺
27.12.25	SeaHorses Mikawa - Toyota Alvark	73:82 ✺
24.12.25	Toyotsu Fighting Eagles Nagoya - Toyota Alvark	78:92 ✺
21.12.25	Toyota Alvark - Levanga Hokkaido	84:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LWWWW
- Hiroshima Dragonflies
Japan B League Premier
03.01.26	Toyota Alvark - Hiroshima Dragonflies	79:87 ✺
28.12.25	Hiroshima Dragonflies - Ibaraki Robots	98:88 ✺
27.12.25	Hiroshima Dragonflies - Ibaraki Robots	72:87 ✺
24.12.25	Hiroshima Dragonflies - Shiga Lakestars	105:90 ✺
21.12.25	Gunma Crane Thunders - Hiroshima Dragonflies	76:83 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan B League Premier
03.01.26	Toyota Alvark - Hiroshima Dragonflies	79:87
10.11.24	Toyota Alvark - Hiroshima Dragonflies	95:79
09.11.24	Toyota Alvark - Hiroshima Dragonflies	71:56
Club Friendly Basketball
07.09.24	Toyota Alvark - Hiroshima Dragonflies	98:50
Japan B League Premier
03.12.23	Toyota Alvark - Hiroshima Dragonflies	61:76
02.12.23	Toyota Alvark - Hiroshima Dragonflies	88:75
21.01.23	Hiroshima Dragonflies - Toyota Alvark	63:66

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