Match Info

B.League

Date: 16 April 2025, Wednesday

Location: Yoyogi National Stadium (Tokyo)


	Toyota Alvark		SeaHorses Mikawa

	1	2
	1.5	2.5
	1.4	2.75
	1.4	2.65	Watch
	1.43	2.81
	1.47	2.63	Watch
	1.44	2.62
	1.47	2.56
	1.4	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.65)	2.65 ↑ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 146.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toyota Alvark
64.8%

SeaHorses Mikawa
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2%

41.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toyota Alvark has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Toyota Alvark's performance.

SeaHorses Mikawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and SeaHorses Mikawa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toyota Alvark than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Toyota Alvark that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SeaHorses Mikawa than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that SeaHorses Mikawa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Toyota Alvark - SeaHorses Mikawa Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Alvark will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 76:71

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
9. Ando S.	0. Auguste Z.
75. Osakabe T.	54. Gardner D.
22. Rossiter R.	11. Kubota Y.
11. Saiz S.	19. Nishida Y.
3. Toews K.	13. Suda Y. (C)
Substitutes
10. Baranski Z. (C)	10. Layman J.
25. Fukuzawa K.	5. Motozawa S.
21. Hiraiwa G.	7. Nagano S.
13. Kikuchi S.	16. Nishida K.
23. Meindl L.	18. Sumino R.
2. Okura S.	9. Toshiya T.
00. Zack S.
Coaches
. Adomaitis D.	. Richman R.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Alvark won 3.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Recently opponents have a series of home games.

Alvark will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Alvark to win the game is with odds 1.54.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Alvark won 11 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 1365:1325 (average 68.3:66.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Alvark won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 313:309 (average 78.3:77.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Toyota Alvark Tokyo
Japan B League Premier
13.04.25	Toyota Alvark - Osaka Evessa	82:47 ✺
12.04.25	Toyota Alvark - Osaka Evessa	66:68 ✺
09.04.25	SAN-EN NeoPhoenix - Toyota Alvark	89:67 ✺
06.04.25	Toyota Alvark - Chiba Jets	75:72 ✺
05.04.25	Toyota Alvark - Chiba Jets	86:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLLWW
- SeaHorses Mikawa
Japan B League Premier
13.04.25	SeaHorses Mikawa - Nagasaki Velca	83:78 ✺
12.04.25	SeaHorses Mikawa - Nagasaki Velca	86:91 OT ✺
09.04.25	Tokyo SunRockers - SeaHorses Mikawa	65:71 ✺
06.04.25	SeaHorses Mikawa - Utsunomiya Brex	61:79 ✺
05.04.25	SeaHorses Mikawa - Utsunomiya Brex	81:87 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan B League Premier
29.01.25	SeaHorses Mikawa - Toyota Alvark	65:87
03.11.24	SeaHorses Mikawa - Toyota Alvark	76:65
02.11.24	SeaHorses Mikawa - Toyota Alvark	59:78
07.04.24	Toyota Alvark - SeaHorses Mikawa	65:61
06.04.24	Toyota Alvark - SeaHorses Mikawa	57:69
02.04.23	SeaHorses Mikawa - Toyota Alvark	80:67
01.04.23	SeaHorses Mikawa - Toyota Alvark	83:81

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