Match Info

EASL - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 20 March 2026, Friday

Location: Studio City Event Center (Macao)


	Toyota Alvark		Taoyuan Pauian Pilots

	1	2
	2.68	1.38
	2.8	1.38
	2.63	1.42	Watch
	2.5	1.44
	2.47	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.03)	1.42 ↓ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 166.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toyota Alvark
35.2%

Taoyuan Pauian Pilots
64.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

55%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

45.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toyota Alvark has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Toyota Alvark's form might have worsened.

Taoyuan Pauian Pilots has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Taoyuan Pauian Pilots's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toyota Alvark than the current prediction. (+19.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Toyota Alvark, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taoyuan Pauian Pilots than the current prediction. (-19.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Taoyuan Pauian Pilots, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Toyota Alvark - Taoyuan Pauian Pilots Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:85

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
10. Baranski Z.
17. Foster M.
75. Osakabe T.
11. Saiz S.
3. Toews K.

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Alvark may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Toyota Alvark Tokyo
Japan B League Premier
15.03.26	Gunma Crane Thunders - Toyota Alvark	78:54 ✺
14.03.26	Gunma Crane Thunders - Toyota Alvark	92:66 ✺
11.03.26	Toyota Alvark - Altiri Chiba	87:81 ✺
08.03.26	Nagasaki Velca - Toyota Alvark	70:91 ✺
07.03.26	Nagasaki Velca - Toyota Alvark	78:93 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LLWWW
- Taoyuan Pauian Pilots
EASL Basketball
18.03.26	Taoyuan Pauian Pilots - Seoul SK Knights	89:69 ✺
Taiwan P League Basketball
12.03.26	Fubon Braves - Taoyuan Pauian Pilots	91:109 ✺
10.02.26	Yankey Ark - Taoyuan Pauian Pilots	84:106 ✺
EASL Basketball
04.02.26	Ryukyu Golden Kings Okinawa - Taoyuan Pauian Pilots	88:82 ✺
Taiwan P League Basketball
31.01.26	Tainan TSG GhostHawks - Taoyuan Pauian Pilots	110:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WWWLL

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