Match Info

Basket Liga - Round 15

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Ergo Arena (Gdansk)

Referee: Nowak K. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	Polsat Sport 2, Polsat Sport Extra 4


	Trefl Sopot		Anwil Włocławek

	1	2
	1.42	2.7	Watch
	1.38	2.68	Watch
	1.58	2.27	Watch
	1.62	2.1
	1.44	2.69
	1.66	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.44)	2.42 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 178.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trefl Sopot
61.5%

Anwil Włocławek
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.3%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.6%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trefl Sopot has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Anwil Włocławek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trefl Sopot than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Anwil Włocławek than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Trefl Sopot - Anwil Włocławek Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +5.5 - Anwil (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Anwil (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 92:87

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
37. Addae Wusu D.	0. Fridriksson E.
33. Goins K.	1. Lockett E.
13. Kacinas M.	7. Mucius I.
55. Schenk J. (C)	77. Pearson N.
21. Zapala S.	5. Wahl T.
Substitutes
18. Cowels R.	13. Borowski K.
3. Kiejzik S.	22. Kolodziej M.
5. Lacz F.	11. Lazarski B.
7. Nowicki S.	23. Michalak M. (C)
11. Suurorg K.	4. Slaughter A. J.
	16. Slupinski D.
	15. Vucic M.
Coaches
. Larkas M.	. Ginzburg R.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trefl Sopot won 3.

Trefl Sopot is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Anwil has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Anwil may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Trefl Sopot is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Trefl Sopot won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1644:1697. (average 82.2:84.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Trefl Sopot won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 739:767. (average 82.1:85.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
10	Anwil Wloclawek	1	1	0	88:87	2
16	Trefl Sopot	1	0	1	63:102	1

Last Results with these Odds

Trefl Sopot - the odds 1.44 are the expected chance of winning is 63.27%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Trefl Sopot
Polish Basket Liga
06.01.26	Zielona Góra - Trefl Sopot	92:90 OT ✺
01.01.26	Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski - Trefl Sopot	89:80 ✺
28.12.25	Trefl Sopot - Czarni Słupsk	97:61 ✺
20.12.25	Toruń - Trefl Sopot	95:86 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
17.12.25	Trefl Sopot - UCAM Murcia	77:93 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLWLL
- Anwil Włocławek
Polish Basket Liga
06.01.26	Anwil Włocławek - Górnik Wałbrzych	97:90 ✺
03.01.26	Anwil Włocławek - Dziki Warszawa	105:96 ✺
26.12.25	Śląsk Wrocław - Anwil Włocławek	86:79 ✺
22.12.25	Zielona Góra - Anwil Włocławek	91:82 ✺
14.12.25	Anwil Włocławek - MOSiR Krosno	99:93 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Basket Liga
13.06.25	Anwil Włocławek - Trefl Sopot	73:82
10.06.25	Trefl Sopot - Anwil Włocławek	85:88
15.03.25	Anwil Włocławek - Trefl Sopot	77:85
08.11.24	Trefl Sopot - Anwil Włocławek	93:108
05.01.24	Trefl Sopot - Anwil Włocławek	76:71
24.09.23	Anwil Włocławek - Trefl Sopot	91:83
23.04.23	Trefl Sopot - Anwil Włocławek	73:81

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