Match Info

Basket Liga - Round 1

Date: 6 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: CRS Hala Zielona Gora (Zielona Góra)

Referee: Gawron M. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	Polsat Sport 3, Polsat Sport Extra 4


	Zielona Góra		Trefl Sopot

	1	2
	2.3	1.56	Watch
	2.2	1.55	Watch
	2.27	1.58	Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.31	1.58
	2.3	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.29)	1.57 ↑ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 170.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zielona Góra
40.8%

Trefl Sopot
59.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

60.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

59.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zielona Góra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Trefl Sopot has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zielona Góra than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trefl Sopot than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Zielona Góra - Trefl Sopot Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Zielona Góra will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Trefl Sopot will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Zielona Góra (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 83, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:87

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
0. Garrison C. J.	33. Goins K.
32. Maughmer J.	13. Kacinas M.
3. Mazurczak A. (C)	55. Schenk J. (C)
7. Sulima Krzysztof .	0. Scruggs P.
13. Szumert J.	21. Zapala S.
Substitutes
12. Cartier P.	37. Addae Wusu D.
10. Fayne P.	18. Cowels R.
40. Lewis C.	25. Jech M.
8. Matczak F.	3. Kiejzik S.
23. Sitnik M.	7. Nowicki S.
77. Woroniecki M.	11. Suurorg K.
Coaches
. Miloszewski A.	. Larkas M.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zielona Góra won 2.

Zielona Góra is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Trefl Sopot's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Trefl Sopot will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Zielona Góra will win today's game, with odds of 2.27.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zielona Góra won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1741:1630. (average 87.1:81.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Zielona Góra won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1022:897. (average 92.9:81.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
2	Zielona Gora	2	1	1	199:192	3
16	Trefl Sopot	1	0	1	63:102	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Zielona Góra
Polish Basket Liga
02.01.26	Śląsk Wrocław - Zielona Góra	90:85 ✺
27.12.25	Zielona Góra - MOSiR Krosno	98:84 ✺
22.12.25	Zielona Góra - Anwil Włocławek	91:82 ✺
13.12.25	Zielona Góra - Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski	98:84 ✺
06.12.25	Czarni Słupsk - Zielona Góra	63:95 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LWWWW
- Trefl Sopot
Polish Basket Liga
01.01.26	Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski - Trefl Sopot	89:80 ✺
28.12.25	Trefl Sopot - Czarni Słupsk	97:61 ✺
20.12.25	Toruń - Trefl Sopot	95:86 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
17.12.25	Trefl Sopot - UCAM Murcia	77:93 ✺
Polish Basket Liga
13.12.25	Start Lublin - Trefl Sopot	84:105 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Basket Liga
17.04.25	Trefl Sopot - Zielona Góra	88:70
21.12.24	Zielona Góra - Trefl Sopot	83:72
21.01.24	Trefl Sopot - Zielona Góra	124:74
05.10.23	Zielona Góra - Trefl Sopot	85:97
26.03.23	Trefl Sopot - Zielona Góra	81:90
23.11.22	Zielona Góra - Trefl Sopot	83:99
24.03.22	Zielona Góra - Trefl Sopot	91:66

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