Match Info

Basket Liga - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 21 May 2026, Thursday

Location: Hala Sportowa Kolo (Warsaw)

Referee: Kuzia M. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	Polsat Sport 2, Polsat Sport Extra 4


	Dziki Warszawa		Trefl Sopot

	1	2
	1.48	2.55
	1.5	2.3	Watch
	1.54	2.5
	1.58	2.27	Watch
	1.5	2.38
	1.53	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.5)	2.41 ↑ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 172.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dziki Warszawa
61.2%

Trefl Sopot
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.4%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dziki Warszawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Trefl Sopot has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dziki Warszawa than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trefl Sopot than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Dziki Warszawa - Trefl Sopot Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dziki Warszawa (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Dziki Warszawa will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 88:84

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
4. Soares R.	11. Suurorg K.
0. Vander B.	13. Kacinas M.
45. Frackiewicz L.	33. Goins K.
1. Horton L.	0. Scruggs P.
2. Edge D.	2. Sherfield G.
Substitutes
5. Aleksandrowicz M.	37. Addae Wusu D.
16. Chavez T.	25. Jech M.
7. Grochowski G. (C)	3. Kiejzik S.
11. Kaminski G.	7. Nowicki S.
8. Kempa K.	55. Schenk J. (C)
25. Oguama O.	21. Zapala S.
12. Sosna J.
Coaches
. Legovich M.	. Larkas M.

Preview

Dziki Warszawa leads series 2-1. Fourth leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dziki Warszawa won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Dziki Warszawa is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Dziki Warszawa will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Dziki Warszawa won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 755:734. (average 83.9:81.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Dziki Warszawa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 311:320. (average 77.8:80).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
3	Dziki Warszawa	1	1	0	102:63	2
16	Trefl Sopot	1	0	1	63:102	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dziki Warszawa
Polish Basket Liga
19.05.26	Dziki Warszawa - Trefl Sopot	85:78 ✺
16.05.26	Trefl Sopot - Dziki Warszawa	81:78 ✺
14.05.26	Trefl Sopot - Dziki Warszawa	92:107 ✺
06.05.26	Zielona Góra - Dziki Warszawa	105:86 ✺
30.04.26	Dziki Warszawa - Anwil Włocławek	78:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLWLW
- Trefl Sopot
Polish Basket Liga
19.05.26	Dziki Warszawa - Trefl Sopot	85:78 ✺
16.05.26	Trefl Sopot - Dziki Warszawa	81:78 ✺
14.05.26	Trefl Sopot - Dziki Warszawa	92:107 ✺
06.05.26	Anwil Włocławek - Trefl Sopot	94:79 ✺
02.05.26	Trefl Sopot - Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski	88:86 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Basket Liga
19.05.26	Dziki Warszawa - Trefl Sopot	85:78
16.05.26	Trefl Sopot - Dziki Warszawa	81:78
14.05.26	Trefl Sopot - Dziki Warszawa	92:107
31.01.26	Trefl Sopot - Dziki Warszawa	64:104
11.10.25	Dziki Warszawa - Trefl Sopot	80:86
01.05.25	Trefl Sopot - Dziki Warszawa	81:70
05.01.25	Dziki Warszawa - Trefl Sopot	71:76

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