Match Info

Basket Liga - Round 23

Date: 20 March 2026, Friday

Location: Ergo Arena (Gdansk)

Referee: Wierzman A. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	Polsat Sport 2, Polsat Sport Extra 4


	Trefl Sopot		Dąbrowa Górnicza

	1	2
	1.3	3.25	Watch
	1.45	2.5
	1.34	2.85	Watch
	1.36	3.11
	2.16	1.63	Watch
	1.33	3
	1.38	2.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.28)	2.75 ↓ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 173.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trefl Sopot
65.1%

Dąbrowa Górnicza
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.8%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trefl Sopot has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Trefl Sopot's form might have worsened.

Dąbrowa Górnicza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dąbrowa Górnicza's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Trefl Sopot - Dąbrowa Górnicza Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Trefl Sopot will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Dąbrowa Górnicza will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +5.5, OT - Dąbrowa Górnicza (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dąbrowa Górnicza (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 91:83

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Goins K.	0. Bonner D.
13. Kacinas M. (C)	11. Curry R.
0. Scruggs P.	7. Montgomery JR E.
11. Suurorg K.	8. Muhammad L.
12. Witlinski M.	15. Peterka M.
Substitutes
37. Addae Wusu D.	32. Bogucki A.
91. Chac F.	14. Gray J.
18. Cowels R.	10. Musial J.
3. Kiejzik S.	4. Piechowicz M. (C)
7. Nowicki S.	2. Wojdala J.
21. Zapala S.	23. Wozny N.
	5. Zalucki A.
Coaches
. Larkas M.	. Gronek A.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trefl Sopot won 3.

Trefl Sopot is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Dąbrowa Górnicza's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Dąbrowa Górnicza may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Dąbrowa Górnicza has had a series of home games.

In this match, Trefl Sopot is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Trefl Sopot won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1732:1591. (average 86.6:79.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Trefl Sopot won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 781:696. (average 86.8:77.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
8	Dabrowa Gornicza	1	1	0	89:78	2
16	Trefl Sopot	1	0	1	63:102	1

Last Results with these Odds

Trefl Sopot - the odds 1.28 are the expected chance of winning is 71.82%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Trefl Sopot
Polish Basket Liga
16.03.26	Asseco Prokom Gdynia - Trefl Sopot	80:77 ✺
06.03.26	GTK Gliwice - Trefl Sopot	92:96 ✺
Polish Cup Basketball
22.02.26	Trefl Sopot - Zielona Góra	91:67 ✺
21.02.26	Trefl Sopot - Górnik Wałbrzych	92:67 ✺
19.02.26	Trefl Sopot - Legia Warsaw	83:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWWWW
- MKS Dąbrowa Górnicza
Polish Basket Liga
13.03.26	Dąbrowa Górnicza - Dziki Warszawa	95:82 ✺
05.03.26	Śląsk Wrocław - Dąbrowa Górnicza	95:90 ✺
12.02.26	Dąbrowa Górnicza - Zielona Góra	91:86 ✺
07.02.26	Dąbrowa Górnicza - Anwil Włocławek	85:94 ✺
30.01.26	Dąbrowa Górnicza - Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski	91:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Basket Liga
15.11.25	Dąbrowa Górnicza - Trefl Sopot	93:81
22.03.25	Dąbrowa Górnicza - Trefl Sopot	78:83
16.11.24	Trefl Sopot - Dąbrowa Górnicza	92:68
12.05.24	Dąbrowa Górnicza - Trefl Sopot	93:101 OT
10.05.24	Dąbrowa Górnicza - Trefl Sopot	92:84
05.05.24	Trefl Sopot - Dąbrowa Górnicza	82:81
03.05.24	Trefl Sopot - Dąbrowa Górnicza	97:78

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