Match Info

Basket Liga - Round 25

Date: 6 April 2026, Monday

Location: Ergo Arena (Gdansk)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	Polsat Sport 2


	Trefl Sopot		Legia Warsaw

	1	2
	1.8	1.87	Watch
	1.76	1.88	Watch
	1.82	2.01
	1.78	1.95	Watch
	1.75	1.95
	1.75	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.8)	1.95 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 168.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trefl Sopot
52.3%

Legia Warsaw
47.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trefl Sopot has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Legia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trefl Sopot than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Trefl Sopot, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Legia Warsaw, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Trefl Sopot - Legia Warsaw Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Trefl Sopot will win (votes: 1 - 50%). Legia will win (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:83

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Goins K.	0. Graves J.
13. Kacinas M. (C)	23. Kolenda M. (C)
0. Scruggs P.	3. Pluta A.
11. Suurorg K.	42. Ponsar C.
12. Witlinski M.	13. Tass M.
Substitutes
37. Addae Wusu D.	7. Brewton D.
91. Chac F.	1. Czapla B.
3. Kiejzik S.	40. Hunter S.
7. Nowicki S.	25. Thompson R.
2. Sherfield G.	5. Tomaszewski W.
21. Zapala S.	32. Wilczek M.
Coaches
. Larkas M.	. Rannula H.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trefl Sopot won 4.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Trefl Sopot won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 1679:1603. (average 84:80.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Trefl Sopot won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 649:681. (average 81.1:85.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
4	Legia	2	1	1	166:180	3
16	Trefl Sopot	1	0	1	63:102	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Trefl Sopot
Polish Basket Liga
28.03.26	King Wilki Morskie Szczecin - Trefl Sopot	85:96 ✺
20.03.26	Trefl Sopot - Dąbrowa Górnicza	77:100 ✺
16.03.26	Asseco Prokom Gdynia - Trefl Sopot	80:77 ✺
06.03.26	GTK Gliwice - Trefl Sopot	92:96 ✺
Polish Cup Basketball
22.02.26	Trefl Sopot - Zielona Góra	91:67 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLLWW
- Legia Warsaw Basketball
Polish Basket Liga
28.03.26	Dziki Warszawa - Legia Warsaw	88:95 ✺
21.03.26	Legia Warsaw - Śląsk Wrocław	99:104 OT ✺
14.03.26	Legia Warsaw - Zielona Góra	84:66 ✺
07.03.26	Anwil Włocławek - Legia Warsaw	83:91 ✺
Polish Cup Basketball
19.02.26	Trefl Sopot - Legia Warsaw	83:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Cup Basketball
19.02.26	Trefl Sopot - Legia Warsaw	83:80
Polish Basket Liga
06.12.25	Legia Warsaw - Trefl Sopot	78:88
Polish Super Cup Basketball
27.09.25	Legia Warsaw - Trefl Sopot	82:96
Polish Basket Liga
12.04.25	Legia Warsaw - Trefl Sopot	70:99
15.12.24	Trefl Sopot - Legia Warsaw	75:109
09.03.24	Legia Warsaw - Trefl Sopot	70:85
Polish Cup Basketball
17.02.24	Legia Warsaw - Trefl Sopot	96:81

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